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Weekly mortgage demand dips 2.9% as rates climb past 6.8%

Created at 5 Aug · 2:21 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Mortgage applications fell 2.9% in the week ending July 31, according to MBA data, as the 30-year fixed rate climbed to 6.81%. Both refinance and purchase activity declined, trailing last year's pace.

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Key Numbers

2.9%weekly decline in mortgage applications
6.81%average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed mortgages
2%week-over-week decrease in refinance index
4%week-over-week decrease in purchase index
39.9%refinance share of mortgage activity
7.9%adjustable-rate mortgage share of activity
17.3%FHA share of applications
12.3%VA share of applications
0.5%USDA share of applications
119.8Xactus Mortgage Intent Index reading
2.4%week-over-week decline in mortgage intent

Who's Involved

Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)
provider of weekly mortgage application data
Mike Fratantoni
MBA's senior vice president and chief economist
Xactus
company analyzing credit-pull activity for mortgage intent
Thomas Lloyd
Xactus's chief strategy officer
Weekly mortgage demand dips 2.9% as rates climb past 6.8%

↳ Why This Matters

The decline in mortgage demand and the rise in interest rates indicate a cooling housing market, potentially impacting home sales, construction, and broader economic activity.

Key facts

  • Mortgage applications fell 2.9% for the week ending July 31.
  • The 30-year fixed mortgage rate increased to 6.81%.
  • Refinance applications decreased by 2% week-over-week.
  • Purchase mortgage applications declined by 4% week-over-week.
  • Mortgage intent, based on credit pull activity, fell 2.4% week-over-week to 119.8.

Mortgage applications saw a 2.9% decrease in the week ending July 31, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). This decline occurred as the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage climbed to 6.81%, its highest level in over a year.

Both refinance and purchase mortgage activity experienced declines, with the refinance index falling 2% and the purchase index dropping 4% week-over-week. These figures indicate that overall demand for mortgages is weakening due to rising interest rates, and both segments are trailing behind last year's pace.

Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s senior vice president and chief economist, noted that the increase in longer-term rates following the July FOMC meeting directly contributed to the rise in mortgage rates. The refinance share of total applications slightly increased to 39.9%, while the adjustable-rate mortgage share decreased to 7.9%.

Additionally, Xactus's Mortgage Intent Index, which tracks credit-pull activity, fell 2.4% week-over-week to 119.8, the lowest non-holiday reading since December 2025. Thomas Lloyd, Xactus’s chief strategy officer, stated that sustained rate pressure is impacting consumer intent, which is now 6.9% below the same week last year.

Frequently asked questions

The Mortgage Bankers Association is a trade association representing the mortgage industry in the United States, providing data and analysis on mortgage activity.

The Xactus Mortgage Intent Index analyzes aggregated, anonymized credit-pull activity to gauge consumer intent for obtaining a mortgage.

Mortgage rates are increasing due to rising longer-term interest rates, influenced by factors such as Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting outcomes and broader market conditions.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future MBA data for continued trends in mortgage demand.
02Observe the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decisions and their impact on interest rates.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Mortgage applications decreased 2.9% from the previous week.
The refinance index fell 2% week-over-week.
The purchase index decreased 4% week-over-week.
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 6.81%.
Mortgage intent declined 2.4% week-over-week, reaching its lowest non-holiday reading since December 2025.

Sources

T1
Weekly mortgage demand slips 2.9% as rates climb past 6.8%HousingWire

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