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US new home sales rise in June, exceeding forecasts

Created at 24 Jul · 2:22 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Sales of new single-family homes in the U.S. increased by 1.6% in June to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 628,000 units, snapping a two-month decline and surpassing economists' expectations. However, rising mortgage rates and prices continue to impact the housing market.

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Key Numbers

1.6%June new home sales increase
628,000June new home sales units (annualized rate)
610,000Economists' forecast for June new home sales
5.6%Year-over-year decline in new home sales
$398,300Median new house price in June
2.7%Year-over-year decrease in median new house price
6.58%Average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate
11 monthsHighest mortgage rates in
0.60 percentage pointsMortgage rate increase since late February
18 monthsHighest 10-year Treasury yields in

Who's Involved

Commerce Department's Census Bureau
reported new home sales data for June
Reuters
polled economists for sales pace estimates
Freddie Mac
reported average 30-year mortgage rate
Mortgage Bankers Association
reported 30-year mortgage contract rate
Federal Reserve
officials' inflation-wariness influences rates

↳ Why This Matters

The slight increase in new home sales suggests some resilience in the housing market, but persistently high mortgage rates and prices continue to challenge affordability and sideline potential buyers, indicating a constrained recovery.

Key facts

  • New U.S. single-family home sales increased by 1.6% in June to 628,000 units.
  • This sales pace exceeded economists' expectations of 610,000 units.
  • The median new house price in June was $398,300, a 2.7% decrease from the previous year.
  • The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate reached 6.58%.

Sales of new single-family homes in the United States increased in June, reversing a two-month decline and surpassing market expectations. The Commerce Department's Census Bureau reported a 1.6% rise to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 628,000 units, exceeding the 610,000 units forecast by Reuters-polled economists.

Despite the uptick, the housing market continues to face headwinds from elevated mortgage rates and prices. The median new house price in June stood at $398,300, marking a 2.7% decrease compared to the previous year. However, borrowing costs remain a significant deterrent for potential buyers.

The average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, a popular home loan type, has reached its highest level since August of the previous year. Freddie Mac reported the national average rate at 6.58% this week, while the Mortgage Bankers Association noted a contract rate of 6.69% for the week ended July 17. These figures represent the highest rates seen in 11 months.

Mortgage rates have climbed approximately 0.60 percentage points since late February, influenced by rising global oil prices and broader inflation concerns. Bond markets are anticipating potential interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, with futures markets indicating a high probability of a hike in September. Consequently, yields on 10-year Treasury notes, a benchmark for mortgage pricing, have risen by a quarter of a percentage point this month, nearing 18-month highs.

Frequently asked questions

New home sales rose by 1.6% in June to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 628,000 units.

The sales pace of 628,000 units exceeded the economists' forecast of 610,000 units.

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has climbed to its highest level in 11 months, reaching 6.58%.

The median new house price in June was $398,300, which is 2.7% lower than a year earlier.

What Happens Next

01Federal Reserve policy meeting next week.
02Potential for rate hikes in September.

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Cadence

How It Developed

New U.S. single-family home sales rose 1.6% in June.
The seasonally adjusted annualized rate reached 628,000 units.
This figure exceeded economists' forecasts of 610,000 units.
The median new house price in June was $398,300, down 2.7% year-over-year.
The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage climbed to 6.58% this week.
Ten-year Treasury note yields are near their highest level in 18 months.
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Sources

T1
US new home sales pick up in June, Census data showsReuters

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