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UK Housing Market Shows Signs of Stabilizing, Agents Report

Created at 11 Jun · 2:06 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The UK housing market may be stabilizing, with key indicators holding steady in May, according to the RICS UK Residential Market Survey. While demand and sales remain negative, the pace of decline has not intensified, though transactions are taking longer to complete.

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Key Numbers

-34%net balance for new buyer enquiries in May
-37%net balance for agreed sales in May
21.5 weeksaverage time from listing to completion
-35%net balance for house price changes in May
+14%net balance for tenant demand increase
-28%net balance for landlord instructions
+36%rent rise expectations
-25%near-term sales expectations
+2%twelve-month sales expectations
-45%near-term price expectations
+6%twelve-month price expectations

Who's Involved

Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS)
conducted the UK Residential Market Survey for May
Tarrant Parsons
Head of Market Research and Analysis at RICS
UK Housing Market Shows Signs of Stabilizing, Agents Report

↳ Why This Matters

The stabilization, even if tentative, in the UK housing market suggests a potential end to a prolonged downturn, impacting homeowners, prospective buyers, and the broader economy. The continued strain in the rental market also indicates ongoing affordability challenges for tenants.

Key facts

  • New buyer enquiries in the UK housing market were unchanged at -34% in May.
  • Agreed sales also remained steady at -37% in May.
  • House prices continued to decline, with a net balance of -35% for the second consecutive month.
  • The average time for a property transaction to complete rose to 21.5 weeks.
  • Tenant demand in the rental market increased by +14%, while landlord instructions fell by -28%.

The UK housing market showed tentative signs of stabilization in May, with several key indicators holding steady rather than deteriorating further, according to the latest RICS UK Residential Market Survey. New buyer enquiries recorded a net balance of -34%, unchanged from April, marking the first month since January that the demand indicator had not worsened. Agreed sales were similarly unchanged at -37%, suggesting the pace of decline is no longer intensifying, though transactions are taking longer to complete, with the average time from listing to completion rising to 21.5 weeks.

House prices continued to fall at the headline level, with the net balance holding at -35% for the second consecutive month. This downward pressure was most pronounced in the South East and East Anglia, while Northern Ireland continued to record price growth. Short-term sentiment remained cautious, with near-term sales expectations improving slightly to -25% and 12-month sales expectations moving into neutral territory at +2%.

Price expectations remain weak in the near term at -45%, though 12-month expectations edged into positive territory at +6%. The rental market continued to face strain, with tenant demand rising (+14%) while landlord instructions remained deeply negative (-28%). Rent expectations climbed to +36%, the highest reading since May of the previous year.

Tarrant Parsons, RICS Head of Market Research and Analysis, stated that while the data suggests the downturn may be stabilizing, it is premature to interpret this as a recovery. He noted that the decline in CPI inflation provided some relief, but the Bank of England's signals about potential further inflationary pressures due to higher energy costs mean rate rises cannot be dismissed, keeping market sentiment fragile.

Frequently asked questions

The RICS survey for May suggests the housing market downturn may be stabilizing, with key indicators like buyer demand and agreed sales holding steady, although they remain in negative territory.

Yes, house prices continued to fall at the headline level in May, with a net balance of -35% reporting declines for the second consecutive month, though Northern Ireland saw continued growth.

The rental market remains under pressure, with tenant demand increasing while landlord instructions are negative. Rent expectations have strengthened significantly, reaching their highest point since May of the previous year.

Transactions are taking longer to complete, with the average time from listing to completion rising to 21.5 weeks in May, the longest recorded since the dataset began in 2017.

What Happens Next

01The Bank of England is expected to signal further inflationary pressures.
02The prospect of further interest rate rises remains.
03Market sentiment is likely to remain fragile until greater clarity emerges.

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Cadence

How It Developed

New buyer enquiries remained unchanged at -34% in May, ending three months of decline.
Agreed sales also held steady with a net balance of -37%.
The average time from listing to completion increased to 21.5 weeks.
House prices continued to fall, with the net balance at -35% for the second month.
Downward price pressure was most significant in the South East and East Anglia.
Northern Ireland continued to record house price growth.
Short-term sales expectations improved to -25%, while 12-month expectations reached +2%.
Near-term price expectations were -45%, with 12-month expectations at +6%.

Sources

T1
UK Housing Market Slump Shows Signs of Stabilizing, Agents SayBloomberg
T2
RICS warns agents that lettings market remains under pressurelettingagenttoday.co.uk
T2
Housing market downturn shows first signs of levelling off: RICS | Mortgage Introducermpamag.com

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