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Starter home inventory trails 2019 by 300,000 listings, per new data

Created at 20 Jul · 6:31 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Starter home inventory remains approximately 300,000 listings below 2019 levels, with the income required to purchase an entry-level home increasing by over 80% since then, according to Realtor.com data. Despite some inventory gains since 2022, prices and required incomes remain elevated.

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Key Numbers

300,000starter home listings short of 2019 levels
80%increase in income needed for starter home since 2019
$350,000price threshold for starter homes
220,000affordable listings added since 2022 trough
$344,000current typical starter home price
$256,000starter home price in June 2019
55.1%share of listings under $350,000 in 2019
37.6%share of listings under $350,000 currently
44.5%price increase for 2-bedroom homes since 2019
41.0%price increase for 3-bedroom homes since 2019
$78,000recommended minimum household income for starter home today
$43,000recommended minimum household income in 2019
28.3%median household income rise since 2019
$88,100current median household income
170,000affordable listings added in South since 2022
3.5%starter home price pullback in South since 2022 peak
7.3%entry-level price decrease in West since 2022
10%starter home price increase in Midwest since 2022
37.5%starter home price increase in Midwest since 2019
29.7%share of listings under $350,000 in Northeast currently
$444,000starter home threshold in Northeast
10%decline in affordable home sales in April 2026 year-over-year
7.2%decline in affordable home sales year-to-date
7.3%affordable sales fall in South year-over-year in April
13.5%affordable sales decline in Midwest year-over-year in April
35%first-time buyer share of market in May
30%first-time buyer share of market a year earlier
40average age of first-time homebuyer
4 millionoverall housing shortage in the U.S.

Who's Involved

Realtor.com
provider of housing market data and analysis
U.S. Census Bureau
source of income data
Hannah Jones
Senior Economist at Realtor.com
Starter home inventory trails 2019 by 300,000 listings, per new data

↳ Why This Matters

The persistent shortage of affordable starter homes and the widening gap between required income and wages significantly impact housing accessibility for first-time buyers, potentially delaying homeownership and influencing broader economic trends in construction, lending, and consumer spending.

Key facts

  • Starter home inventory is down by approximately 300,000 listings compared to 2019.
  • The income required to purchase a starter home has increased by over 80% since 2019.
  • The median starter home price nationally is $344,000, up from $256,000 in June 2019.
  • Sales of homes under $350,000 declined approximately 10% year-over-year in April.
  • The first-time homebuyer share of the market increased to 35% in May.

Starter home inventory in the U.S. remains significantly below pre-pandemic levels, with approximately 300,000 fewer listings compared to 2019, according to a new report from Realtor.com. The analysis highlights an affordability gap, where the income required to purchase an entry-level home has surged by more than 80% since 2019, far outpacing wage growth.

While the number of homes priced under $350,000 has increased by 220,000 listings since a 2022 low, the overall supply is still considerably lower than before the COVID-19 pandemic, and prices remain elevated. The typical starter home now costs $344,000, a substantial increase from $256,000 in June 2019. This price growth has been most pronounced at the lower end of the market.

The report estimates that a household income of around $78,000 is now needed to afford a starter home, compared to $43,000 in 2019. This required income has risen much faster than median household income, which has grown by 28.3% over the same period. This affordability challenge, coupled with mortgage rates in the mid-6% range, is a primary constraint for first-time buyers.

Regional data reveals a divergence in market conditions. The South and West have seen price thresholds for entry-level homes fall since 2022, partly due to increased construction in areas like Texas and Florida. Conversely, the Midwest and Northeast are experiencing rising prices. The Northeast, in particular, faces significant challenges with only 29.7% of listings under $350,000 and a starter home threshold nearing $444,000.

Despite some inventory gains, sales of affordable homes have declined, falling about 10% in April compared to the previous year. The first-time homebuyer share of the market has edged up to 35%, though the average age of these buyers has risen to 40. Realtor.com estimates a structural housing shortage of about 4 million homes nationwide, contributing to the ongoing affordability issues.

Frequently asked questions

Starter homes are defined as listings priced under $350,000 nationally.

The recommended minimum household income to buy a starter home has increased by over 80%, from approximately $43,000 in 2019 to about $78,000 today.

The Northeast is identified as the most challenging market, with a high starter home threshold and a low percentage of affordable listings.

Realtor.com estimates the U.S. faces an overall housing shortage of approximately 4 million homes.

What Happens Next

01The starter home segment is expected to move toward a "slow, uneven normalization."
02Inventory should continue to build as the rate lock-in effect fades and owners move.
03Policy interventions and targeted affordability programs may be critical in challenging markets like the Northeast and Midwest.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Starter home inventory is approximately 300,000 listings short of 2019 levels.
The income needed to buy a starter home has increased by over 80% since 2019.
Inventory of homes priced below $350,000 has risen by 220,000 listings since a 2022 trough.
The typical starter home now costs $344,000 nationally, up from $256,000 in June 2019.
The share of active listings priced under $350,000 has fallen from 55.1% in 2019 to 37.6% currently.
Price growth has been strongest at the lower end of the market, with two- and three-bedroom listings rising significantly.
The minimum household income required to buy a starter home is estimated at $78,000, up from $43,000 in 2019.
Median household income has risen 28.3% over the same period.

Sources

T1
Starter home inventory trails 2019 by 300,000 listings, per new dataHousingWire

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