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Mortgage fraud risk up 9.1% in Q2 amid purchase lending surge

Created at 6 Aug · 4:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Mortgage application fraud risk rose 9.1% in Q2 2026 to a reading of 132, according to Cotality. The increase was driven by a surge in purchase lending and elevated mortgage rates, which limited refinancing activity.

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Key Numbers

9.1%Q2 mortgage fraud risk increase
132Q2 fraud risk index reading
119Q1 fraud risk index reading
4.6%Year-over-year decrease in fraud risk index
138Q2 2025 fraud risk index reading
5.2%Overall mortgage application increase
72%Share of purchase loans in Q2
59%Share of purchase loans in Q1
24%Share of government loans in Q2
2.6%Year-over-year increase in undisclosed real estate fraud
2.5Times more frequent fraud alerts for investment properties
1 in 44Fraud risk indication for investment property applications
1 in 27Fraud risk indication for multifamily applications
1 in 119Overall industry average fraud risk indication
12%Share of investment and multifamily loans in Q2

Who's Involved

Cotality
Property data and analytics company that released the fraud risk index
Matt Seguin
Senior principal of mortgage fraud solutions at Cotality
Mortgage fraud risk up 9.1% in Q2 amid purchase lending surge

↳ Why This Matters

The rise in mortgage fraud risk indicates potential vulnerabilities in the lending process, particularly as purchase lending gains traction. This could lead to increased losses for lenders and potentially impact the stability of the mortgage market.

Key facts

  • Mortgage application fraud risk increased 9.1% in Q2 2026.
  • The National Mortgage Application Fraud Risk Index rose to 132 in Q2 2026.
  • Purchase lending regained momentum, accounting for 72% of applications.
  • Undisclosed real estate fraud alerts saw a 2.6% year-over-year increase.
  • Investment and multifamily properties represent the highest-risk loan segments.

Mortgage application fraud risk saw a significant increase of 9.1% in the second quarter of 2026, reaching a reading of 132 on Cotality's National Mortgage Application Fraud Risk Index. This rise is attributed to a resurgence in purchase lending and persistently high mortgage rates that dampened refinance activity.

Despite the quarterly uptick, the index remains 4.6% below its level from the second quarter of 2025. According to Cotality, the shift towards purchase loans, which historically carry higher fraud risks due to more extensive documentation requirements compared to streamlined refinance programs, is a key driver. Overall mortgage applications grew by 5.2% from the first quarter, with purchase loans making up 72% of the total.

Specific fraud categories also showed increases. Undisclosed real estate fraud, which can conceal additional debt or prior credit issues, rose 2.6% year-over-year. Transaction, property, and occupancy-related fraud alerts also climbed. Investment and multifamily properties continue to be the segments with the highest fraud risk, with one in 44 investment property applications and one in 27 multifamily applications indicating fraud risk, significantly higher than the overall industry average of one in 119.

Frequently asked questions

It is an index released by Cotality that measures the risk of fraud in mortgage applications. A higher reading indicates a greater risk.

The increase is attributed to a rise in purchase lending and elevated mortgage rates, which limited refinancing and shifted demand towards purchase loans that have higher fraud opportunities.

Investment and multifamily properties represent the highest-risk loan segments, with fraud risk levels significantly higher than the average mortgage application.

This type of fraud occurs when additional debt, occupancy misrepresentation, or prior credit events like foreclosures are concealed. It is often linked to applications for investment properties.

What Happens Next

01Cotality plans to release its annual Mortgage Fraud Report in September.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Mortgage application fraud risk increased 9.1% in Q2 2026.
The index reached a reading of 132, up from 119 in Q1 2026.
Despite the quarterly rise, the index is 4.6% below its Q2 2025 level.
Elevated mortgage rates limited refinancing and shifted demand to purchase loans.
Purchase loans have higher fraud risk than refinances due to documentation requirements.
Overall mortgage applications increased 5.2% from Q1.
Purchase loans constituted 72% of applications, up from 59% in Q1.
Undisclosed real estate fraud alerts increased 2.6% year-over-year.

Sources

T1
Cotality says mortgage fraud risk rose 9.1% in Q2HousingWire

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