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China resale home prices fall faster in June, shows private survey

Created at 1 Jul · 3:31 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

China's resale home prices declined at an accelerated pace in June, dropping 0.75% month-on-month, according to a survey by China Index Academy. New home prices saw a slower increase, and the property sector continues to face stress despite policy support.

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Key Numbers

0.75%June resale home price decline (month-on-month)
0.71%May resale home price decline (month-on-month)
7.26%June resale home price decline (year-on-year)
7.24%May resale home price decline (year-on-year)
0.16%June new home price increase (month-on-month)
0.30%May new home price increase (month-on-month)
100cities surveyed for resale home prices

Who's Involved

China Index Academy
Real estate data provider and survey company
Goldman Sachs
Provided research note on new home demand
China resale home prices fall faster in June, shows private survey

↳ Why This Matters

The continued decline in China's property market, particularly resale home prices, highlights persistent weakness and challenges in stabilizing the sector, which has significant implications for consumer confidence, developer solvency, and broader economic growth in China.

Key facts

  • China's resale home prices fell 0.75% in June compared to a 0.71% decline in May, according to China Index Academy.
  • Year-on-year, resale home prices dropped 7.26% in June.
  • New home prices increased by 0.16% in June, a slower pace than the previous month.
  • The property sector has been in a downturn since 2021 following regulatory actions against developer debt.

China's resale home prices experienced a faster decline in June, underscoring the ongoing struggles within the nation's property market despite various policy support measures. According to a survey by China Index Academy, one of the country's largest real estate research firms, resale home prices fell 0.75% in June, an acceleration from the 0.71% decrease observed in May. On a year-on-year basis, prices dropped 7.26%, slightly more than the 7.24% fall in the prior month.

New home prices, meanwhile, saw a more modest increase of 0.16% in June, matching the pace of May. The firm indicated that real estate policies in the latter half of the year would likely continue to target both supply and demand sides, as near-term new home sales remain under pressure.

The property sector has been in a state of severe stress since 2021, following government crackdowns on excessive borrowing by developers. These regulatory actions led to liquidity issues for major firms, resulting in unfinished construction projects, declining home sales, and widespread debt defaults. Despite efforts to stimulate the market, including interest rate cuts and buyer incentives, weak consumer confidence and oversupply in certain areas have limited their effectiveness. Goldman Sachs noted in June that demand for new homes is projected to be significantly lower than its 2017 peak. Chinese leaders have pledged to optimize policies to boost demand and stabilize the market.

Frequently asked questions

China's resale home prices fell 0.75% month-on-month in June, a faster decline than the 0.71% drop seen in May.

New home prices rose 0.16% in June, matching the pace of increase from the previous month.

The property sector has been under severe stress since 2021 due to authorities cracking down on excessive borrowing by developers, leading to liquidity crises and debt defaults.

Goldman Sachs projected that demand for new homes in China is likely to be less than five million units per year, significantly below the 2017 peak of 20 million units.

What Happens Next

01Real estate policies in the second half of the year will likely focus on supply and demand support.
02Chinese leaders aim to optimize policies to boost demand and stabilize the property market.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Resale home prices across 100 Chinese cities fell 0.42% month-on-month in June.
The decline in resale home prices quickened from a 0.32% drop in May.
New home prices rose 0.16% in June, matching May's pace.
Resale home prices slumped 7.26% year-on-year in June.
Real estate policies are expected to continue focusing on supply and demand support in the second half of the year.
The property sector has been under severe stress since 2021 due to regulatory crackdowns on developer borrowing.

Sources

T1
China resale home prices fall faster in June, shows private surveyReuters
T2
Resale home prices drop at faster pace in China, private survey shows ...businesstimes.com.sg

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