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April Case-Shiller shows home prices flat year-over-year

Created at 30 Jun · 3:40 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller National Home Price Index rose 0.8% year-over-year in April, a slight increase from March's 0.7% gain. However, with inflation at 3.8%, home values have declined in real terms for the 11th consecutive month.

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Key Numbers

0.8%National home price index annual increase in April
332.68National home price index reading in April
0.77%National home price index monthly increase in April
3.8%Annual inflation pace in April
11Consecutive months of real home value decline
$450,000Median list price for the week ending June 26, 2026
-3.2%Year-over-year change in median list price for the week ending June 26, 2026
7.3%Chicago's annual median list price growth as of June 2026
3.2%Atlanta's annual median list price growth as of June 2026
3.1%Miami's annual median list price growth as of June 2026
1.8%10-city composite index annual increase in April
1.1%20-city composite index annual increase in April
6.5%Chicago's annual price change among top-20 markets
-2.3%Seattle's annual price change among top-20 markets
3.8%New York's annual home price growth in April
3.2%Cleveland's annual home price growth in April
-1.85%Denver's annual home price change
-1.77%Tampa's annual home price change
6.3%30-year mortgage rates in April

Who's Involved

S&P Dow Jones Indices
Provider of the Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Nicholas Godec
Head of Fixed Income Tradables and Commodities at S&P Dow Jones Indices
April Case-Shiller shows home prices flat year-over-year

↳ Why This Matters

The data indicates that while nominal home prices are showing slight positive movement, real home values are declining due to inflation, signaling a continued affordability challenge for potential buyers and a potential drag on the housing market.

Key facts

  • The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller National Home Price Index increased 0.8% year-over-year in April.
  • The national index saw a 0.77% monthly increase in April.
  • Home values have declined in real terms for 11 consecutive months due to accelerating inflation.
  • The 10-city composite index rose 1.8% annually, and the 20-city index increased 1.1% annually in April.
  • HousingWire Data indicates softer home price appreciation for the week ending June 26, 2026.
  • Chicago, Atlanta, and Miami showed significant annual median list price growth as of late June 2026.
  • Mortgage rates climbed back to 6.3% in April, impacting housing affordability.

The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller National Home Price Index showed a modest year-over-year increase of 0.8% in April, slightly up from 0.7% in March. On a monthly basis, the index grew by 0.77%. Despite this nominal growth, accelerating inflation, which stood at 3.8% annually in April, means that U.S. home values have effectively declined in real terms for 11 consecutive months.

More up-to-date data from HousingWire Data for the week ending June 26, 2026, indicates softer home price appreciation, with the median list price down 3.2% year-over-year and flat month-over-month. However, some major metros like Chicago (+7.3%), Atlanta (+3.2%), and Miami (+3.1%) have seen significant annual median list price growth.

The Case-Shiller 10-city composite index saw a 1.8% annual increase in April, up from 1.5% in March, while the 20-city index rose 1.1% year-over-year, up from 0.9% a month prior. Month-over-month, the 10-city composite was up 1.06% and the 20-city composite was up 1.03%.

Geographic disparities persist, with Midwest and Northeast markets leading moderate growth, while many Sun Belt and Western cities experience ongoing declines. Chicago led the top-20 markets with a 6.5% annual price change, while Seattle was the weakest at -2.3%. New York and Cleveland also showed strong annual growth, while Denver and Tampa saw declines.

Nicholas Godec of S&P Dow Jones Indices highlighted that housing affordability remains a significant headwind, exacerbated by 30-year mortgage rates climbing back to 6.3% in April. This elevated rate environment continues to constrain home price growth, with the housing market largely treading water in nominal terms and falling in real terms.

Frequently asked questions

The Case-Shiller Index is a composite index that tracks the value of residential real estate in the United States. It is published by S&P Dow Jones Indices.

Home prices are declining in real terms because the rate of inflation is higher than the rate of home price appreciation, meaning the purchasing power of home values is decreasing.

As of April, Midwest and Northeast markets are leading moderate growth. Specifically, Chicago, New York, and Cleveland showed strong annual home price growth.

Housing affordability is impacted by elevated 30-year mortgage rates, which climbed back to 6.3% in April, and the ongoing decline in real home values.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future Case-Shiller Index releases for continued trends in home price appreciation.
02Track 30-year mortgage rates for further impact on housing affordability.
03Observe regional housing market performance for ongoing geographic dispersion.

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Cadence

How It Developed

The national home price index rose 0.8% year-over-year in April.
The national index was up 0.77% on a monthly basis in April.
The 10-city composite index recorded a 1.8% annual increase in April.
The 20-city index posted a 1.1% year-over-year increase in April.
HousingWire Data shows softer home price appreciation for the week ending June 26, 2026.
Chicago, Atlanta, and Miami show the largest annual median list price growth as of June 2026.
Chicago led annual price changes among top-20 markets with a 6.5% increase.
Seattle saw the largest annual decline at -2.3%.

Sources

T1
April Case-Shiller shows inflation outpacing home pricesHousingWire

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