US consumer confidence dips in July, misses expectations
window 24h
IN SHORT
U.S. consumer confidence fell in July to 90.8, missing expectations and signaling pessimism about current business conditions and the labor market outlook. Concurrently, the U.S. goods trade deficit narrowed by 4.2% to $101.5 billion in June, also falling short of forecasts. Declining imports, influenced by reduced AI spending, contributed to this contraction, though trade is still anticipated to negatively impact second-quarter GDP growth.
✉Newsletter
PiQ Daily
Pick your topics. Get only what matters, on your cadence.
Key Numbers
90.8consumer confidence index in July
92.2consumer confidence index in June
4.2%narrowing of the U.S. goods trade deficit in June
$101.5 billionU.S. goods trade deficit in June
Who's Involved
Conference Board
organization that compiles the consumer confidence index
U.S. consumers
group whose confidence and spending are being tracked
economists
group whose forecasts were missed by economic data
Key facts
U.S. consumer confidence fell to 90.8 in July.
Consumer confidence was 92.2 in June.
The July consumer confidence figure missed economist forecasts.
Consumers expressed pessimism about current business conditions.
Consumers expressed a weaker outlook for the labor market.
The U.S. trade deficit in goods narrowed by 4.2% in June.
The U.S. goods trade deficit was $101.5 billion in June.
The June goods trade deficit narrowed less than expected.
Declining imports contributed to the trade deficit contraction.
AI spending influenced the decline in imports.
Trade is projected to subtract from second-quarter GDP growth.
U.S. consumer confidence experienced a dip in July, with the Conference Board's index declining to 90.8 from a revised 92.2 in June. This figure fell below economists' expectations, which had predicted an increase. Consumers conveyed pessimism regarding current business conditions and expressed a slightly weaker outlook for the labor market.
In parallel, the U.S. trade deficit in goods narrowed by 4.2% in June, reaching $101.5 billion. This contraction was less pronounced than economists had anticipated. The decrease in the deficit was partly attributed to a reduction in imports, with spending on artificial intelligence being a contributing factor. Despite this narrowing, trade is still projected to be a drag on second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth.
↳ Why This Matters
U.S. consumer confidence experienced a dip in July, with the Conference Board's index declining to 90.8 from a revised 92.2 in June. This figure fell below economists' expectations, which had predicted an increase. Consumers conveyed pessimism regarding current business conditions and expressed a slightly weaker outlook for the labor market.
Frequently asked questions
It is a monthly survey that reflects consumers' attitudes toward prevailing business and labor market conditions, as well as their buying intentions and expectations for the future.
Consumers expressed pessimism about current business conditions and, to a lesser extent, the labor market. Mentions of jobs and unemployment also picked up slightly in their responses.
The July index of 90.8 missed economists' forecasts, which had predicted an increase to 92.3.
What Happens Next
01Monitor future consumer confidence surveys for sustained trends.
02Observe consumer spending data for confirmation of sentiment impact.
Get the newsletter.
Pick the topics you actually care about. We'll email when there's news worth your time, on the cadence you choose. Cancel any time from your account.