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US consumer confidence dips in July, misses expectations

Created at 28 Jul · 2:22 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

U.S. consumer confidence edged down in July, with the Conference Board's index falling to 90.8 from a revised 92.2 in June. This decline missed economist forecasts for an increase, as consumers expressed pessimism about current business conditions and a slightly weaker outlook for the labor market.

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Key Numbers

90.8July consumer confidence index
92.2Revised June consumer confidence index
92.3Economists' forecast for July index
1.4Points decrease in confidence index
114.9Present Situation Index in July
74.7Expectations Index in July
+1.1%Net views of current business conditions
+3.1%Labor market differential

Who's Involved

The Conference Board
Provider of the consumer confidence survey
Dana M Peterson
Chief Economist at The Conference Board
US consumer confidence dips in July, misses expectations

↳ Why This Matters

The decline in consumer confidence suggests a potential slowdown in consumer spending, a key driver of the U.S. economy. Weakening consumer sentiment could impact corporate earnings and future economic growth, particularly if the trend continues.

Key facts

  • U.S. consumer confidence fell to 90.8 in July, down from a revised 92.2 in June.
  • The decline missed economists' expectations for an increase to 92.3.
  • Consumers' assessments of current business conditions and the labor market softened.
  • The Expectations Index remained unchanged at 74.7, with expectations for household incomes moderating but remaining optimistic.
  • References to jobs and unemployment increased slightly in consumer write-in responses.

U.S. consumer confidence declined in July, with the Conference Board's index falling to 90.8 from an upwardly revised 92.2 in June. This figure fell short of the 92.3 forecast by economists polled by Reuters. The survey indicated that consumers' assessments of current business conditions and the labor market softened for a third consecutive month.

The Present Situation Index, which measures consumers' views on current business and labor market conditions, decreased by 3.6 points to 114.9. The Expectations Index, reflecting consumers' short-term outlook, remained unchanged at 74.7. While expectations for household incomes moderated, they remained optimistic overall. However, consumers anticipate little improvement in business conditions over the next six months, though labor market expectations were slightly less negative.

Consumers' written responses indicated continued pessimism about the economy, with mentions of jobs and unemployment picking up slightly. References to prices, oil, and gas eased in frequency but remained elevated, while comments about food and grocery prices increased. Mentions of war and geopolitics decreased during the survey period.

Frequently asked questions

It is a monthly survey that reflects consumers' attitudes toward prevailing business and labor market conditions, as well as their buying intentions and expectations for the future.

Consumers expressed pessimism about current business conditions and, to a lesser extent, the labor market. Mentions of jobs and unemployment also picked up slightly in their responses.

The July index of 90.8 missed economists' forecasts, which had predicted an increase to 92.3.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future consumer confidence surveys for sustained trends.
02Observe consumer spending data for confirmation of sentiment impact.

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How It Developed

The Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell to 90.8 in July.
The index was revised to 92.2 in June.
Economists had forecast the index to climb to 92.3.
Consumers' assessments of current business conditions and the labor market softened.
Expectations for household incomes moderated but remained optimistic.
References to jobs and unemployment picked up slightly in consumer responses.

Sources

T1
US consumer confidence eases in JulyReuters
T2
US Consumer Confidence - The Conference Boardconference-board.org

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