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Wall St opens flat as markets weigh Middle East tensions and await inflation data

Created at 10 Aug · 1:36 PM4 sources↑ Market-relevant4 events
IN SHORT

U.S. stock indexes opened little changed Monday as investors monitored Middle East developments and braced for a week of crucial inflation data and corporate earnings. Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged higher.

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Key Numbers

0.07%Dow Jones Industrial Average gain at open
0.08%S&P 500 fall at open
0.04%Nasdaq Composite drop at open
44%Chance of September rate hike priced in
1.4%Brent crude gain premarket
$84.68Brent crude price per barrel
1.4%U.S. benchmark crude advance premarket
$79.30U.S. benchmark crude price per barrel
158.80USD/JPY exchange rate
$1.1552EUR/USD exchange rate
December 11Federal agency funding deadline

Who's Involved

Bob Edwards
Chief investment officer at Edwards Asset Management
Kevin Warsh
Fed Chair whose guidance is noted
Beth Hammack
Cleveland Fed President
Bas van Geffen
Senior macro strategist for Rabobank
Wall St opens flat as markets weigh Middle East tensions and await inflation data

↳ Why This Matters

Market participants are closely watching geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and upcoming inflation data, as these factors will significantly influence energy prices, central bank policy, and overall market direction.

Key facts

  • U.S. stock indexes opened little changed Monday.
  • Investors are monitoring Middle East developments, particularly concerning the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Key U.S. inflation data, including consumer and producer prices, are due this week.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 35.7 points, or 0.07%, at the open.
  • The S&P 500 fell 5.9 points, or 0.08%, at the open.
  • The Nasdaq Composite dropped 10.2 points, or 0.04%, at the opening bell.

U.S. stock indexes opened little changed on Monday as investors weighed developments in the Middle East concerning the Strait of Hormuz and braced for a week filled with significant inflation data and corporate earnings reports. Iran indicated it was nearing a final agreement with Oman to define new shipping lanes through the strait, while also stating that the U.S. must meet certain conditions for the waterway to reopen. A potential easing of energy flows through this critical chokepoint could alleviate concerns about elevated oil prices, which have contributed to inflation worries and expectations of interest rate hikes by central banks globally.

Upcoming readings of consumer and producer prices are anticipated to provide key insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction. Traders are now pricing in a 44% probability of a rate increase in September, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Comments from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack were expected later in the day.

In premarket trading, Dow E-minis were down 72 points (0.13%), S&P 500 E-minis were down 5.25 points (0.07%), and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 43 points (0.14%). The S&P 500 closed at a record high on Friday, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached record levels last week. J.P.Morgan has raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 8,000 from 7,800.

Separately, the U.S. Senate passed a short-term bill on Saturday to fund federal agencies through December 11, averting a government shutdown. Brent crude rose 1.4% to $84.68 per barrel, and U.S. benchmark crude advanced 1.4% to $79.30 per barrel. Global markets showed mixed performance, with shares mostly higher in Europe and Asia, led by Japan's Nikkei 225. The U.S. dollar strengthened to 158.80 Japanese yen from 157.72 yen, while the euro declined to $1.1552 from $1.1561.

Frequently asked questions

The Strait of Hormuz is a vital maritime chokepoint connecting the Persian Gulf to the open ocean, through which a significant portion of the world's oil supply passes.

Tensions in the Middle East, particularly concerning the Strait of Hormuz, can disrupt oil supply routes, potentially leading to higher energy prices and increased inflation.

The upcoming consumer and producer price data will provide crucial insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction regarding interest rate decisions.

What Happens Next

01Key U.S. consumer and producer price data will be released this week.
02Comments from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack are expected.
03Semiconductor company Applied Materials and networking equipment maker Cisco are scheduled to report earnings.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Euro futures rally to eight-week high on shifting rate outlook.
    7 Aug · 9:00 PM
  • Euro futures rally to eight-week high on shifting rate outlook.
    7 Aug · 9:00 PM
  • 2-Year Note futures climbed on negative job creation data.
    7 Aug · 9:00 PM

How It Developed

Wall Street indexes are poised for a subdued open, with investors monitoring Middle East developments and awaiting key economic data.
Futures for S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged higher as markets monitored the Strait of Hormuz situation and awaited inflation data.
Global equities rose slightly, building on Wall Street's record high, as markets awaited US inflation data and news on the Strait of Hormuz.
Wall Street's main indexes opened little changed on Monday, as investors weighed developments in the Middle East that could influence the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and braced for a week laden

Sources

T1
Wall St open flat as markets monitor Hormuz situationReuters
T1
Wall St set for subdued open as markets monitor Hormuz situationPiQSuite
T1
S&P 500, Nasdaq futures inch up as markets monitor Hormuz situationPiQSuite
T1
Global stocks tick up with Hormuz and inflation in focusPiQSuite
T2
Premarket: Wall Street set for subdued open as markets monitor Hormuz ...theglobeandmail.com

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