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US Initial Jobless Claims Fall to Lowest Level Since 1969

Created at 23 Jul · 12:41 PM2 sources↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Initial jobless claims in the U.S. dropped to 187,000 for the week ended July 18, the lowest level since 1969. This indicates continued stability in the labor market, with layoffs remaining muted.

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Key Numbers

187,000initial jobless claims for the week ended July 18
1969year of lowest jobless claims
22,000decrease in jobless claims
212,000economists' median forecast for jobless claims
1.796 millionpeople on jobless benefit rolls for week ended July 11
4.2%unemployment rate in June

Who's Involved

Labor Department
released initial jobless claims data
Reuters
polled economists for forecasts
Federal Reserve
focus remains on containing inflation
US Initial Jobless Claims Fall to Lowest Level Since 1969

↳ Why This Matters

The persistently low level of initial jobless claims suggests that the U.S. labor market remains robust, which could influence the Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates as it aims to control inflation.

Key facts

  • Initial jobless claims fell by 22,000 to 187,000 in the week ended July 18.
  • This is the lowest level for initial jobless claims since 1969.
  • Economists had forecast 212,000 applications.
  • The number of people on jobless benefit rolls fell to 1.796 million in the week ended July 11.
  • The U.S. unemployment rate dipped to a one-year low of 4.2% in June.

Initial applications for U.S. unemployment benefits fell sharply last week to the lowest level since 1969, signaling continued stability in the labor market and muted layoffs. The Labor Department reported that initial claims dropped by 22,000 to a seasonally adjusted 187,000 for the week ended July 18. This figure was below the 212,000 new claims forecast by economists polled by Reuters.

The number of Americans on jobless benefit rolls for more than a week, a proxy for hiring, decreased to 1.796 million in the week ended July 11. The U.S. unemployment rate unexpectedly dipped in June to a one-year low of 4.2%, though this was partly due to a decline in the workforce. The labor market's dynamic of restrained worker supply, slow job creation, and limited layoffs has kept the jobless rate historically low, prompting Federal Reserve policymakers to prioritize inflation containment over labor market resilience.

The Federal Reserve is expected to leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming meeting, but market futures indicate at least one quarter-percentage-point rate hike is anticipated before the end of the year.

Frequently asked questions

Initial jobless claims measure the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time each week.

A low level of initial jobless claims indicates that companies are retaining workers and layoffs are minimal, suggesting a strong labor market and a healthy economy.

Reaching the lowest level since 1969 indicates that current labor market conditions, in terms of layoffs, are the most favorable seen in over five decades.

What Happens Next

01The Federal Reserve is expected to leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting.
02Rate futures markets are positioned for at least one quarter-percentage-point rate hike by year-end.

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How It Developed

Initial jobless claims fell to 187,000 for the week ended July 18.
This marks the lowest level for initial jobless claims since 1969.
Economists had forecast 212,000 new claims for the week.
The number of people on jobless benefit rolls fell to 1.796 million in the week ended July 11.
The unemployment rate dipped to a one-year low of 4.2% in June.
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Sources

T1
US Initial Jobless Claims Fall to Lowest Level Since 1969Bloomberg
T1
US weekly jobless claims fall sharply in latest weekReuters
T2
US Jobless Claims Plunge to 189000, Lowest Since 1969bloomberg.com

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