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US factory orders decline in May amid weak commercial aircraft demand

Created at 2 Jul · 2:32 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

New orders for U.S. factory goods fell 1.3% in May, primarily due to a significant drop in commercial aircraft bookings. However, demand in other sectors remained robust, supported by artificial intelligence investments, and manufacturing activity continued to expand.

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Key Numbers

1.3%factory orders decline in May
5.3%April factory orders increase (revised)
1.8%forecasted factory orders decline
5.1%year-on-year factory orders increase in May
9.4%manufacturing's share of the economy
51.8%commercial aircraft orders drop in May
167.4%April commercial aircraft orders surge
27Boeing aircraft orders in May
136Boeing aircraft orders in April
0.2%orders for computers and electronic products in May
13.0%year-on-year orders for computers and electronic products
2.1%machinery orders surge in May
0.3%orders for electrical equipment, appliances and components in May
6.2%year-on-year orders for electrical equipment, appliances and components
1.4%rebound in non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft
0.1%shipments of core capital goods increase

Who's Involved

Commerce Department's Census Bureau
reported U.S. factory orders data
Boeing
reported aircraft orders
Institute for Supply Management
showed manufacturing expansion
US factory orders decline in May amid weak commercial aircraft demand

↳ Why This Matters

The decline in factory orders, particularly in the commercial aircraft sector, signals a potential moderation in manufacturing output. However, continued strength in AI-related investments and other industrial sectors suggests underlying resilience in business spending and manufacturing activity.

Key facts

  • New orders for U.S. factory goods decreased by 1.3% in May.
  • The decline was largely attributed to a significant drop in commercial aircraft bookings.
  • Demand in other sectors, particularly those related to artificial intelligence, remained strong.
  • Manufacturing activity continued to expand for the sixth consecutive month in June.
  • Orders for core capital goods, a measure of business spending plans, rebounded by 1.4%.

New orders for U.S. factory goods declined by 1.3% in May, a reversal from a revised 5.3% increase in April, according to data from the Commerce Department's Census Bureau. The decrease was primarily driven by a substantial 51.8% drop in bookings for commercial aircraft, following a massive surge in April. Despite this setback, overall demand in other sectors remained resilient, bolstered by significant investments in artificial intelligence.

Manufacturing, which constitutes 9.4% of the U.S. economy, continues to show strength, supported by the AI spending boom. This has helped to offset the drag from other economic factors. An Institute for Supply Management survey indicated that manufacturing has been expanding for six consecutive months as of June.

Orders for computers and electronic products saw a modest increase of 0.2% in May, with a year-on-year rise of 13.0%. Machinery orders experienced a significant surge of 2.1%, and there were also notable gains in primary metals and fabricated metal products. While orders for electrical equipment, appliances, and components dipped slightly by 0.3%, they still showed a year-on-year increase of 6.2%.

Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a key indicator of business spending plans on equipment, rebounded by 1.4% in May, slightly revised from an earlier estimate of 1.6%. Shipments of these core capital goods saw a smaller increase of 0.1%, compared to the previously reported 0.3% rise.

Frequently asked questions

The primary driver was a significant drop in new bookings for commercial aircraft, which fell 51.8%.

No, demand remained strong in areas like computers and electronic products, machinery, primary metals, and fabricated metal products, partly due to AI investments.

Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft are considered a measure of business spending plans on equipment.

Manufacturing has been expanding for six consecutive months as of June, according to a survey by the Institute for Supply Management.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future factory orders data for trends in commercial aircraft and business spending.
02Observe the impact of AI investments on broader manufacturing and economic growth.

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How It Developed

New orders for U.S. factory goods fell 1.3% in May.
This decline followed a revised 5.3% jump in April.
Commercial aircraft orders dropped 51.8% in May.
Orders for computers and electronic products rose 0.2%.
Machinery orders surged 2.1%.
Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft rebounded 1.4%.

Sources

T1
US factory orders fall in May, weighed down by weak demand for commercial aircraftReuters

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