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Canadian factory PMI edges higher in June amid supply shortages

Created at 2 Jul · 1:37 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Canada's manufacturing sector expanded in June, with production and employment rising. However, intensifying supply shortages, exacerbated by Middle East shipping disruptions and high oil prices, pushed cost inflation to a near four-year high.

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Key Numbers

53.0Canada Manufacturing PMI in June
52.9Canada Manufacturing PMI in May
50Expansion threshold for PMI
52.1Output index in June
51.9Employment index in June
September 2022Longest supplier delivery times since
67.2Input price index in June
66.5Input price index in May
July 2022Highest input price index since

Who's Involved

S&P Global Market Intelligence
Provider of the Canada Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index
Paul Smith
Economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence
Canadian factory PMI edges higher in June amid supply shortages

↳ Why This Matters

The data indicates that while Canadian manufacturing is expanding, persistent supply chain issues and rising costs are creating inflationary pressures and dampening business confidence, potentially impacting future growth and economic stability.

Key facts

  • Canada's manufacturing sector expanded in June, with the PMI rising to 53.0.
  • Production and employment within the sector saw increases.
  • Supply shortages intensified, leading to cost inflation reaching a near four-year high.
  • Supplier delivery times lengthened significantly due to Middle East shipping disruptions.
  • Input costs rose to their highest level since July 2022, influenced by oil prices and tariffs.

Canada's manufacturing sector showed signs of continued expansion in June, with the S&P Global Canada Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rising to 53.0 from 52.9 in May. This marks the sixth consecutive month the index has remained above the 50 threshold, indicating growth.

Production and employment within the sector increased, with the employment measure reaching its highest level since October 2024. Firms added staff to manage rising workloads. However, underlying trends revealed significant supply-side disruptions, partly driven by stockpiling efforts as companies and clients grappled with extended delivery times.

Suppliers' delivery times lengthened to their greatest extent since September 2022, attributed to shipping route disruptions caused by the conflict in the Middle East. Elevated oil prices, increased transportation costs, and U.S. tariffs further contributed to a surge in input costs, pushing the input price index to 67.2, its highest point since July 2022. Business confidence within the sector consequently slipped to a three-month low.

Frequently asked questions

The S&P Global Canada Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a survey that tracks the performance of the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.

Rising costs are attributed to intensifying supply shortages, high oil prices, increased transportation costs, and U.S. tariffs.

The war has disrupted shipping routes, leading to lengthened supplier delivery times and contributing to supply shortages and increased costs for Canadian manufacturers.

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How It Developed

Canada's manufacturing sector expanded in June.
Production and employment rose in the sector.
Supply shortages worsened, driving cost inflation to a near four-year high.
The S&P Global Canada Manufacturing PMI rose to 53.0 in June from 52.9 in May.
This marks the sixth consecutive month above the 50 expansion threshold.
Output and new orders increased, supporting employment growth.
Supplier delivery times lengthened significantly due to Middle East shipping disruptions.
High oil prices, increased transportation costs, and U.S. tariffs contributed to rising input costs.

Sources

T1
Canadian factory PMI edges higher despite war-linked supply disruptionsReuters

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