All NewsEducationTV
Equities & FundsCrypto & Digital AssetsAI & TechnologyBusiness & CorporateUS Politics & PolicyGeopolitics & Global RiskMacro, Rates & FXCommodities & EnergyEuropean Politics & MarketsAsia-PacificReal Estate & Property
Story archiveAll categories
← All Stories

US CPI Inflation Slows to 3.4% as Expected, Bitcoin Holds Near $64,000

Created at 12 Aug · 12:51 PM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

US CPI inflation rose 0.1% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year in July, matching expectations. Core CPI also came in line with forecasts. Bitcoin rebounded to trade near $64,000 following the data release, as the odds of a Fed rate hike this year decreased.

✉Newsletter

PiQ Daily

Pick your topics. Get only what matters, on your cadence.

Key Numbers

3.4%July CPI year-over-year inflation
0.1%July CPI month-over-month inflation
2.5%July Core CPI year-over-year inflation
0.2%July Core CPI month-over-month inflation
$64,100Bitcoin price
44%Probability of Fed rate hike in September

Who's Involved

US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Released July CPI inflation data
Federal Reserve
Upcoming September FOMC meeting
Austan Goolsbee
Fed President who called inflation the economy's biggest challenge
Neel Kashkari
Fed President and FOMC voting member calling for rate hikes
US CPI Inflation Slows to 3.4% as Expected, Bitcoin Holds Near $64,000

↳ Why This Matters

The softer-than-expected inflation data reduces the immediate pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, potentially benefiting risk assets like Bitcoin and signaling a more stable economic outlook.

Key facts

  • July US CPI inflation was 3.4% year-over-year and 0.1% month-over-month.
  • Core CPI inflation was 2.5% year-over-year and 0.2% month-over-month.
  • Bitcoin traded near $64,000 following the inflation data.
  • Market odds for a September Fed rate hike decreased to 44%.

U.S. consumer price index (CPI) inflation in July came in line with expectations, rising 0.1% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, also met forecasts, increasing 0.2% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year. Following the data release, Bitcoin rebounded to trade around $64,100, up from an intraday low of $63,400. The inflation figures have eased concerns about a potential Federal Reserve rate hike this year, with market odds for a September hike falling to 44%. Treasury yields also declined following the report. Fed President Austan Goolsbee had previously identified inflation as the economy's primary challenge, while Neel Kashkari, an FOMC voting member, advocated for rate hikes to combat it. Attention now shifts to the upcoming Producer Price Index (PPI) data.

Frequently asked questions

The year-over-year CPI inflation rate in July was 3.4%, which was in line with expectations.

Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 0.2% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year in July, both matching forecasts.

Bitcoin held near $64,000, and market odds for a September Fed rate hike decreased.

Market participants are pricing in a 44% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at its upcoming September meeting.

What Happens Next

01Federal Reserve to make its next interest rate decision in September.
02Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data to be released.

Get the newsletter.

Pick the topics you actually care about. We'll email when there's news worth your time, on the cadence you choose. Cancel any time from your account.

Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Euro futures held near 7-week highs ahead of key CPI and PPI data.
    11 Aug · 9:00 PM
  • Euro futures held near 7-week highs ahead of key CPI and PPI data.
    11 Aug · 9:00 PM
  • Japanese Yen futures fell as unexpected trade deficit weighed.
    10 Aug · 10:10 PM

How It Developed

US CPI inflation rose 0.1% MoM and 3.4% YoY in July, matching expectations.
Core CPI fell to 2.5% YoY and 0.2% MoM, both in line with expectations.
Bitcoin rebounded to trade around $64,100 after the inflation data release.
Odds of a Fed rate hike at the September FOMC meeting fell to 44%.

Sources

T1
U.S. CPI inflation slows to 3.4% as expected, bitcoin holds near $64,000CoinDesk
T1
U.S. CPI Falls To 3.4% In Line With Expectations, Bitcoin RisesCoinGape

Related Stories

July CPI Report Expected to Show Cooling Inflation
12 Aug · 9:06 AM
US inflation eases as food costs cool
12 Aug · 1:06 PM
US stock futures pare gains after July inflation data
12 Aug · 12:39 PM
Inflation Data Could Sway September Fed Rate Hike Decision
12 Aug · 11:41 AM
US inflation data due, Fed policy focus
12 Aug · 10:44 AM