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UK Jobs Market Stagnant as Employment Costs Deter Hiring

Created at 16 Aug · 11:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The UK's jobs market has largely stalled, with private sector employment intentions at their lowest levels outside the pandemic. High employment costs are deterring businesses from hiring and hindering jobseekers' progression, according to the CIPD.

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Key Numbers

11CIPD private sector employment intentions index
57%Employers planning to hire in next three months
26%Bosses expecting staffing levels to rise next quarter
17%Bosses anticipating a decrease in staffing levels next quarter
31%Employers reporting hard-to-fill vacancies
9Net employment balance

Who's Involved

Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD)
UK human resources sector representative body
James Cockett
CIPD Senior Labour Market Economist
Andy Burnham
Addressed by CIPD regarding NICs policy
Rachel Reeves
Former Chancellor who introduced NICs hikes
UK Jobs Market Stagnant as Employment Costs Deter Hiring

↳ Why This Matters

The stagnation in the UK jobs market indicates a potential drag on economic growth, as reduced hiring and limited career progression can dampen consumer spending and innovation. Persistent skills shortages in key sectors also pose a risk to service delivery and economic output.

Key facts

  • The UK jobs market is largely stagnant due to high employment costs, according to the CIPD.
  • Private sector employment intentions are at their lowest levels outside the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • The net employment balance is at plus nine, indicating a 'low hire, low fire' environment.
  • Only 57% of employers plan to hire in the next three months.
  • 31% of employers report hard-to-fill vacancies, particularly in sectors like construction and healthcare.
  • The CIPD recommended reversing national insurance contribution hikes to encourage hiring.

The UK's labor market is experiencing a significant slowdown, with private sector employers showing the lowest hiring intentions outside of the pandemic period. The Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD) reports that the net employment balance remains at a low of plus nine, indicating a 'low hire, low fire' environment. This stagnation not only blocks new entrants into the workforce but also hinders career progression for existing employees and impacts the talent pipeline for businesses.

According to a survey of over 2,000 businesses by the CIPD, only 57% of private sector employers plan to increase hiring in the next three months, a figure near its lowest point outside of the pandemic. While overall vacancies have decreased, a substantial 31% of employers still face challenges in filling positions, particularly in sectors like construction, healthcare, and social care, highlighting persistent skills shortages.

To address this, the CIPD has called for bolder measures to boost employer confidence. Specifically, they urge for a reversal of the increases to employer national insurance contributions (NICs) implemented by former Chancellor Rachel Reeves. The organization also advocates for canceling the planned abolition of age-based wage levels, arguing these steps would make it easier for businesses to create more entry-level jobs.

Frequently asked questions

The net employment balance is the difference between the percentage of employers expecting to increase headcount and those planning to decrease it. A positive balance indicates more employers are hiring than firing.

National Insurance Contributions are payments made by individuals and employers in the UK, which fund certain social security benefits and the National Health Service.

Industries such as construction, healthcare, and social care are still facing challenges with hard-to-fill vacancies despite the overall cooling of the labor market.

What Happens Next

01The CIPD will continue to monitor hiring intentions and employment costs.
02Government policy decisions regarding national insurance contributions and wage levels will be closely watched.

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How It Developed

The UK jobs market is experiencing stagnation due to high employment costs.
Private sector employment intentions are at their lowest levels outside the COVID-19 pandemic.
Hiring levels have weakened while redundancy levels have not increased.
The CIPD describes this as a 'low hire, low fire' environment.
A stagnant labor market limits opportunities for new jobseekers and existing employees.
Only 57% of private sector employers plan to hire in the next three months.
The net employment balance remains at plus nine, near its lowest point.
Despite falling vacancies, 31% of employers report hard-to-fill positions.

Sources

T1
Jobs market ‘stops moving’ as employment costs weigh on hirersCity AM

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