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Japan June core CPI rises 1.6% yr/yr, government highlights inflation pressure

Created at 23 Jul · 11:37 PM3 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

Japan's core consumer prices rose 1.6% year-on-year in June, matching economists' estimates. A government white paper noted companies are passing on rising costs faster than in 2022, with corporate and household inflation expectations accelerating.

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Key Numbers

1.6%Japan June core CPI annual gain
1.6%Economists' median estimate for June CPI
1.7%Japan June core CPI excluding food and energy
2%Bank of Japan inflation target

Who's Involved

Bank of Japan
Central bank scrutinizing inflation data
Economists
Provided median estimate for CPI
Minoru Kiuchi
Economy Minister overseeing the white paper
Reuters
News agency reporting on Japanese economic data
Japan June core CPI rises 1.6% yr/yr, government highlights inflation pressure

↳ Why This Matters

The data provides insight into Japan's inflation trajectory, a key factor for the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decisions. The government's assessment of embedded inflationary pressures suggests a potential shift in the long-standing deflationary environment.

Key facts

  • Japan's core consumer prices rose 1.6% year-on-year in June.
  • This figure matched economists' median estimate.
  • An index excluding fresh food and fuel rose 1.7% in June.
  • A government white paper noted companies are passing on rising costs faster than in 2022.
  • Corporate and household inflation expectations are accelerating, according to the white paper.

Japan's core consumer price index (CPI) increased by 1.6% year-on-year in June, aligning with economists' expectations. This figure remained below the Bank of Japan's 2% target. A government white paper released on Friday highlighted that Japanese companies are passing on rising costs from the Middle East conflict at a faster pace than in 2022. The paper also indicated that corporate and household inflation expectations are accelerating, aligning with the Bank of Japan's view that inflationary pressures are becoming embedded in the economy. The white paper noted companies' spending appetite remains strong, with investment plans exceeding the historical average for two straight years, highlighting the economy's resilience to the conflict-induced energy shock. However, it warned that close attention was needed on the extent to which the Middle East conflict could hurt Japan's economy and output gap. The white paper is compiled by the Cabinet Office, overseen by Economy Minister Minoru Kiuchi.

Frequently asked questions

Japan's core CPI includes oil products but excludes volatile fresh food prices.

Economists' median estimate for Japan's June core CPI was a 1.6% annual gain.

Core consumer prices in Tokyo rose 1.6% in June from a year earlier.

The Bank of Japan's inflation target is 2%.

What Happens Next

01Bank of Japan policy meeting next week.
02Bank of Japan to issue fresh quarterly projections.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Equity index futures fell as 10-Year yields surged to 4.7%.
    23 Jul · 8:42 PM
  • Equity index futures fell as 10-Year yields surged to 4.7%.
    23 Jul · 8:42 PM
  • Euro futures fell as ECB held rates steady.
    23 Jul · 8:41 PM

How It Developed

Japan's core consumer prices rose 1.6% in June year-on-year.
Companies are passing on rising costs from the Middle East conflict at a faster pace than in 2022.
Corporate and household inflation expectations are accelerating.
The government white paper warned that close attention was needed on the extent the Middle East conflict could hurt Japan's economy.
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Sources

T1
Japan June core CPI rises 1.6% yr/yrReuters
T2
Tokyo June core CPI rises 1.6% yr/yr | 1330 & 101.5 WHBLwhbl.com

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