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Ukraine intelligence estimates Russia has 6,200 Geran drones

Created at 12 Aug · 1:36 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Ukraine's military intelligence agency estimates Russia has amassed approximately 6,200 Geran kamikaze drones as of August. The drone stockpile is built ahead of potential major attacks, though recent launches have declined.

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Key Numbers

6,200Russia's estimated Geran drone stockpile
94%Ukrainian interception rate in May attack
8,150Drones launched by Russia in May
5,000Drones launched by Russia in July
90 kgGeran-5 drone warhead weight
950 kmGeran-5 drone range
20 kgGeran-1 drone warhead weight
900 kmGeran-1 drone range

Who's Involved

HUR
Ukraine's military intelligence agency
Militarnyi
Ukrainian media outlet reporting on drone stockpile
Volodymyr Zelensky
President of Ukraine
Ukraine intelligence estimates Russia has 6,200 Geran drones

↳ Why This Matters

The reported size of Russia's Geran drone stockpile indicates a significant capacity for sustained aerial attacks, even as recent launch rates have declined. This information provides insight into Russia's military strategy and its ability to replenish and upgrade its drone arsenal.

Key facts

  • Ukraine's military intelligence agency (HUR) estimates Russia has approximately 6,200 Geran kamikaze drones as of August.
  • The Geran drone is based on Iran's Shahed design, with Russia establishing domestic production.
  • Russia typically builds large drone stockpiles before major attacks.
  • Recent drone launches have declined, with Russia typically using 150-300 drones per attack during replenishment periods.
  • The Geran-5 drone modification has a 90kg warhead and a range of 950 kilometers.

Ukraine's military intelligence agency (HUR) estimates that Russia has accumulated a stockpile of approximately 6,200 Geran kamikaze drones of various types as of August, according to a report by Ukrainian media outlet Militarnyi. The Geran, a long-range attack drone based on Iran's Shahed design, has seen Russia establish domestic production after initially receiving supplies from Iran.

Russia typically amasses large drone stockpiles in preparation for significant attacks. However, the number of long-range drones launched against Ukraine has decreased in recent months. While large-scale attacks can involve between 600 and 1,000 drones, Russia has been launching around 150-300 drones per attack during periods of stockpile replenishment. In May, Russia launched a record 8,150 drones over a 24-hour period, with Ukrainian forces intercepting 94% of them. By July, the number of launches had fallen to nearly 5,000.

Russia has also upgraded its long-range drones since the full-scale invasion began. The latest modification, the Geran-5, which entered use in 2026, is equipped with a 90-kilogram warhead, has a range of approximately 950 kilometers, and can reach speeds of up to 600 km/h. In comparison, the Geran-1, equivalent to the Shahed-131, carries a warhead of up to 20 kilograms, has a range of about 900 kilometers, and can reach speeds of up to 185 km/h.

Frequently asked questions

The Geran is a Russian-made long-range kamikaze drone based on Iran's Shahed design. It is used for attack missions.

Ukraine's military intelligence agency estimates Russia has accumulated around 6,200 Geran drones as of August.

While Russia launched a record number of drones in May, the number of launches has declined over the summer months.

The Geran-5 modification carries a 90-kilogram warhead, has a range of approximately 950 kilometers, and can reach speeds of up to 600 km/h.

What Happens Next

01Russia may launch larger drone attacks as stockpiles are replenished.
02Ukraine will continue to monitor and intercept Russian drone launches.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Ukraine's military intelligence agency estimates Russia has around 6,200 Geran kamikaze drones.
Russia has developed domestic production of Geran drones based on Iran's Shahed design.
Drone launches have declined in recent months, with Russia typically attacking with 150-300 drones during stockpile replenishment.
Russia launched a record 8,150 drones in May, but numbers decreased to nearly 5,000 in July.
The latest Geran-5 drone modification features a 90kg warhead and a 950km range.

Sources

T1
Ukraine's HUR reveals size of Russia's Geran attack drone stockpileThe Kyiv Independent

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