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Palestinians reject Hamas disarmament before Israeli withdrawal, poll shows

Created at 13 Aug · 3:07 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

A new poll indicates that 72% of Palestinians oppose Hamas disarming before a full Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, fearing Israel would resume hostilities. The survey also revealed widespread dissatisfaction with Palestinian leadership, with 79% wanting PA President Mahmoud Abbas to resign.

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Key Numbers

72 percentPalestinians opposing Hamas disarmament before Israeli withdrawal
40 percentRespondents expecting continued killings
30 percentRespondents expecting calm and reconstruction
79 percentPalestinians wanting PA President Mahmoud Abbas to resign
83 percentBelief in corruption within PA institutions
65 percentRegard PA as a burden
39 percentSupport for Marwan Barghouti as successor
54 percentMarwan Barghouti's support in hypothetical presidential election
26 percentKhalil al-Hayya's support in hypothetical presidential election
14 percentMahmoud Abbas's support in hypothetical presidential election
76 percentPalestinians feeling unsafe
23 percentPalestinians feeling safe
24 percent
Trust in the Board of Peace overseeing Gaza plan
66 percentDistrust in the Board of Peace
87 percentFear of losing homes or land to settlements in West Bank
34 percentBelief Israeli policy would remain unchanged under opposition
33 percentExpectation Israeli policy would worsen under opposition
28 percentBelief Israeli policy would improve under opposition
43 percentPrioritizing Israeli withdrawal and Palestinian statehood

Who's Involved

Palestinians
majority oppose Hamas disarmament before Israeli withdrawal
Hamas
disarmament opposed by majority of Palestinians
Israel
feared to resume genocide if Hamas disarms
Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research
published poll findings on Palestinian attitudes
Nickolay Mladenov
head of US-backed 'Board of Peace'
Mahmoud Abbas
PA President, 79% want him to resign
Marwan Barghouti
imprisoned leader, preferred successor to Abbas
Khalil al-Hayya
Hamas leader, second preferred successor
Mohammed Dahlan
third preferred successor to Abbas
Mustafa Barghouti
fourth preferred successor to Abbas
Benjamin Netanyahu
Israeli Prime Minister, Palestinians skeptical removal would change policy
Palestinians reject Hamas disarmament before Israeli withdrawal, poll shows

↳ Why This Matters

The poll underscores a deep divide between Palestinian public opinion and the conditions for potential peace agreements, highlighting widespread distrust in both Israeli intentions and Palestinian leadership. It suggests that any disarmament plan for Hamas would face significant popular opposition without a guaranteed full Israeli withdrawal and a more trusted Palestinian political alternative.

Key facts

  • 72% of Palestinians oppose Hamas disarming before a full Israeli withdrawal from Gaza.
  • A majority fear Israel would resume hostilities if Hamas surrendered its weapons.
  • 79% of Palestinians want PA President Mahmoud Abbas to resign.
  • Marwan Barghouti is the most preferred successor to Abbas.
  • 24% of Palestinians trust the US-backed Gaza plan's oversight board.

A new survey reveals that a significant majority of Palestinians, 72 percent, are against Hamas disarming before Israel completes its withdrawal from the Gaza Strip. The poll, conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research, suggests that Palestinians fear Israel would resume its military actions and not fully withdraw if Hamas were to surrender its weapons.

The findings also highlight deep dissatisfaction with the current Palestinian leadership. A striking 79 percent of respondents expressed a desire for Palestinian Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas to resign, a sentiment that has remained consistently high over the past three years. Furthermore, 83 percent believe corruption is present within PA institutions, and 65 percent view the authority as a burden rather than a national asset.

Despite the widespread desire for change in leadership, Marwan Barghouti, a prominent Palestinian leader imprisoned by Israel, emerged as the preferred successor to Abbas, garnering 39 percent of support. In a hypothetical presidential election scenario, Barghouti secured 54 percent of the vote, significantly ahead of Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya and Abbas himself.

The survey also touched upon the pervasive sense of insecurity among Palestinians, with 76 percent reporting that they and their families feel unsafe. Trust in the US-backed Gaza plan, overseen by the 'Board of Peace,' is low, with only 24 percent expressing confidence and 66 percent distrusting it. In the West Bank, 87 percent fear displacement due to expanding Israeli settlements. Palestinians also show skepticism about whether removing Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would lead to substantial policy changes, with many expecting policy to remain the same or worsen.

Frequently asked questions

According to a new survey, 72 percent of Palestinians oppose Hamas disarming before Israel completely withdraws from the Gaza Strip.

Most Palestinians fear that Israel would resume its genocide in Gaza and refuse to withdraw fully if Hamas surrendered its weapons.

The survey found that 79 percent of Palestinians want PA President Mahmoud Abbas to resign.

Marwan Barghouti, a prominent Palestinian leader imprisoned by Israel, remains the preferred successor, receiving 39 percent of respondents' support.

Only 24 percent of Palestinians trust the Board of Peace overseeing the Trump administration’s Gaza plan, while 66 percent distrust it.

What Happens Next

01The Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research will likely conduct future polls to track evolving attitudes.

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Cadence

How It Developed

A poll found 72% of Palestinians oppose Hamas disarming before Israeli withdrawal.
Respondents fear Israel would resume genocide and refuse to withdraw if Hamas disarmed.
% expect the current situation to continue with ongoing killings.
% anticipate calm, Gaza administration takeover, and reconstruction.
% of Palestinians want PA President Mahmoud Abbas to resign.
% believe corruption exists within PA institutions.
% view the PA as a burden.
Marwan Barghouti is the preferred successor to Abbas.

Sources

T1
Palestinians reject Hamas disarmament before full Israeli withdrawal, poll findsMiddle East Eye

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