Philippines CPI inflation decelerated to 6.8% year-over-year in May, down from 7.2% in April and below analyst forecasts of 7.5%-7.9%. The slowdown was driven by lower price growth in transport, food, and housing. Despite this, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas plans to proceed with a rate hike.

Philippines Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation decelerated to 6.8% year-over-year in May, a decrease from 7.2% in April and below the forecasts of analysts, which ranged from 7.5% to 7.9%. The slowdown was primarily driven by lower price growth in the transport sector (16.2% vs 21.4% in April), food and non-alcoholic beverages (5.7% vs 6.0%), and housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels (7.8% vs 8.2%). Seasonally adjusted CPI fell by 0.6% month-over-month in May. Meanwhile, annual core inflation saw a slight acceleration to 4.1% in May from 3.9% in April. Despite the softer headline inflation, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Benjamin Diokno stated that a rate hike is still on track, aiming to manage inflation expectations and maintain price stability. The May inflation figure falls within the BSP's month-ahead forecast range of 7.1-7.9%.
The easing inflation provides some relief but the central bank's continued hawkish stance suggests interest rates may remain elevated, impacting borrowing costs and economic growth in the Philippines and potentially other Southeast Asian nations facing similar trends.