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UK business confidence hits lowest since 2022 amid rising costs

Created at 2 Jul · 7:07 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

British business confidence dropped to its lowest level since late 2022 in the three months to June, according to a survey by the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales. Rising costs, partly driven by the Iran conflict, are weighing on future sales expectations.

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Key Numbers

4.1%input price increase in three months to June
35%firms citing concerns about energy prices
24%firms concerned about late payments
1,000accountants surveyed

Who's Involved

Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales
conducted the quarterly Business Confidence Monitor survey
Suren Thiru
chief economist at the ICAEW
UK business confidence hits lowest since 2022 amid rising costs

↳ Why This Matters

The slump in business confidence signals potential headwinds for the UK economy, with rising costs and weak demand potentially impacting future growth and investment.

Key facts

  • UK business confidence fell to its lowest level since Q4 2022 in the three months to June.
  • Rising costs, including input prices at 4.1%, are impacting future sales expectations.
  • Companies are struggling to pass on higher costs due to weak demand.
  • Concerns about labor, energy, and transport costs are elevated.
  • Late payment worries are at a five-year high.

British business confidence has fallen to its lowest point since the fourth quarter of 2022, driven by rising costs and weakening expectations for future sales, according to a survey by the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales (ICAEW). The Business Confidence Monitor, which surveyed 1,000 accountants between April and June, indicated that the conflict in Iran has contributed to increased costs, impacting the UK economy.

The survey revealed that input prices rose to 4.1% in the three months to June, the highest level since the third quarter of 2024. Many companies reported difficulty in fully passing these higher costs onto customers due to weak demand. Expectations for input cost growth over the next 12 months also reached their highest level since the first quarter of 2023.

More than half of the surveyed firms expressed concerns about labor costs, while 35% cited worries about energy prices. Additionally, the proportion of businesses concerned about transport costs reached its highest in over two years, and 24% of firms reported concerns about late payments, the highest figure in five years.

Frequently asked questions

The Business Confidence Monitor is a quarterly survey conducted by the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales (ICAEW) to gauge business confidence and economic expectations.

Key factors include rising input prices, concerns about labor and energy costs, transport worries, and difficulties in passing higher costs to customers due to weak demand.

The survey suggests the Iran conflict has pushed up costs for UK businesses, contributing to the overall decline in confidence and impacting expectations for future sales.

What Happens Next

01The ICAEW expects a difficult second half of the year for the UK economy.
02The survey suggests ongoing cost pressures and weak demand will continue to weigh on business activity.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Business confidence fell to its lowest point since the fourth quarter of 2022.
The decline reflects weaker expected sales and increased cost pressures.
Input prices rose to 4.1% in the three months to June.
Companies struggled to pass higher costs to customers due to weak demand.
Concerns about labor costs, energy prices, and transport costs increased.
Worries about late payments reached their highest level in five years.

Sources

T1
UK business morale slumps as Iran war pushes up costs, survey showsReuters

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