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US Stock Futures Decline as Alphabet, IBM Miss Guidance; Oil Rallies

Created at 22 Jul · 10:26 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

US equity-index futures slipped as investors assessed earnings from tech giants for signs of growth from AI investments, while oil prices extended their rally. Alphabet Inc. dropped after raising its capital expenditure forecast, and IBM lowered its full-year sales outlook.

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Key Numbers

0.2%S&P 500 futures decline
0.4%Nasdaq 100 futures slip
5%Alphabet Inc. stock drop
$800 billionS&P 500 ETF size
500 billionAlphabet's cloud backlog
$95Brent oil price briefly topped
30%Traders see chance of Fed hike

Who's Involved

Alphabet Inc.
Tech giant whose stock dropped after earnings
Tesla Inc.
Automaker that missed earnings expectations
International Business Machines Corp.
Tech company that lowered its full-year sales outlook
Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi
UBS Chief Investment Office strategist
Ian Lyngen
BMO Capital Markets analyst
Donald Trump
President of the United States
US Stock Futures Decline as Alphabet, IBM Miss Guidance; Oil Rallies

↳ Why This Matters

The earnings reports from major tech companies are crucial for determining the market's outlook on AI investments and their impact on future growth. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also driving commodity prices and inflation concerns, potentially influencing central bank policy.

Key facts

  • US equity-index futures declined as investors weighed earnings from AI heavyweights.
  • Alphabet Inc. dropped nearly 5% after lifting its full-year capital expenditure forecast.
  • Tesla Inc. missed earnings expectations.
  • International Business Machines Corp. lowered its full-year sales outlook.
  • Oil prices extended their rally, with Brent briefly topping $95.
  • Escalating US-Iran tensions raised concerns about inflation and interest rates.

US equity-index futures declined in early Thursday trading as investors assessed earnings from technology giants for evidence that surging capital spending on artificial intelligence is translating into growth. Oil extended its rally amid escalating geopolitical tensions.

Alphabet Inc. dropped nearly 5% in late trading after lifting its full-year capital expenditure forecast, even as its cloud revenue beat estimates. Tesla Inc. missed earnings expectations, while International Business Machines Corp. lowered its full-year sales outlook. The S&P 500 futures fell 0.2% and Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.4%.

Traders are scrutinizing earnings reports from major tech companies to justify their significant investments in AI. "We remain constructive on AI’s growth story, but we favor a more balanced exposure across the AI value chain," said Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi at UBS Chief Investment Office, advising investors to ensure diversification beyond AI.

Geopolitical developments also weighed on markets, with the US and Iran signaling no immediate return to negotiations after escalating attacks. Brent crude oil briefly topped $95, fueling concerns about inflationary pressures ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting. Money markets indicate a roughly 30% chance of a rate hike.

"Diplomatic efforts to end the conflict in the Middle East have effectively stalled as military strikes continue with no sign of easing," said Ian Lyngen at BMO Capital Markets. "The rally in energy continues to weigh on the Treasury market as hostilities between the US and Iran intensify."

Frequently asked questions

US stock futures declined as investors weighed earnings from AI heavyweights for evidence of growth from their massive investments and as oil prices rallied due to geopolitical tensions.

Alphabet Inc., Tesla Inc., International Business Machines Corp., Texas Instruments Inc., and ServiceNow Inc. reported earnings.

The escalation of the conflict raised concerns about inflationary pressures and potentially influenced Federal Reserve policy decisions, while also driving up oil prices.

What Happens Next

01Investors will continue to scrutinize earnings reports from major tech companies over the next two weeks.
02The Federal Reserve will hold its policy meeting next week.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Russell futures lagged major indices as borrowing costs rose.
    22 Jul · 8:07 PM
  • Russell futures lagged major indices as borrowing costs rose.
    22 Jul · 8:07 PM
  • S&P 500 futures rose as chip stocks led tech rally.
    21 Jul · 8:45 PM

How It Developed

US equity-index futures declined in early trading.
Alphabet Inc. dropped almost 5% after lifting its full-year capital expenditure forecast.
Tesla Inc. missed earnings expectations.
International Business Machines Corp. lowered its full-year sales outlook.
Oil extended its rally, with Brent briefly topping $95.
The US and Iran escalated attacks, raising concerns about inflation and interest rates.

Sources

T1
US Stock Futures Slip on Alphabet, Oil Advances: Markets WrapBloomberg
T2
Stock market news for March 26, 2026cnbc.com
T2
Nasdaq Futures Slip Before Tech Earnings, Brent Up: Markets Wrap - SWI swissinfo.chswissinfo.ch

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