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Intel results to test if AI-fueled rally has room to run

Created at 22 Jul · 10:16 AM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

Intel's upcoming quarterly results are expected to show its fastest revenue growth in six years, driven by AI demand. Investors await details on new customers for its contract manufacturing business, including a potential deal with Apple.

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Key Numbers

185%Intel stock year-to-date gain
25%Intel stock decline from record close
6 yearsfastest quarterly revenue growth period expected for Intel
$14.42 billionexpected second-quarter revenue
12.1%expected year-over-year revenue growth
$5.37 billionexpected data center and AI segment revenue
36.4%expected data center and AI segment growth
38.8%expected adjusted gross profit margin
21 centsexpected adjusted earnings per share

Who's Involved

Intel
chipmaker facing investor scrutiny over AI rally
Donald Trump
U.S. President who announced a potential Apple deal
Apple
potential new customer for Intel's foundry business
Bernstein analysts
commented on Intel's challenging fundamentals
Intel results to test if AI-fueled rally has room to run

↳ Why This Matters

Intel's performance is a key indicator for the broader semiconductor industry's AI-driven rally, as its results will demonstrate whether the company can capitalize on increased demand for AI processors and its contract manufacturing capabilities.

Key facts

  • Intel is expected to report its fastest quarterly revenue growth in approximately six years.
  • Analysts anticipate Intel's second-quarter revenue to reach $14.42 billion, a 12.1% increase year-over-year.
  • The company's data center and AI segment is projected to grow by 36.4% to $5.37 billion.
  • Intel's adjusted gross profit margin is expected to be 38.8%.
  • Intel's stock has fallen over 25% from its record high in June but is still up 185% for the year.

Intel's upcoming quarterly results are poised to reveal whether the company's significant stock gains this year are supported by its performance, particularly as demand for AI-powered central processors rebounds. Analysts project the company will report its fastest quarterly revenue growth in approximately six years, with its data center and AI segment expected to see a 36.4% increase to $5.37 billion. The company is also seeking new customers for its contract manufacturing business, with a potential deal to manufacture processors for Apple, announced by U.S. President Donald Trump in April, being a key point of interest, though neither company has confirmed it.

Despite the positive outlook for AI-driven demand, Intel faces challenges including weaker demand in the PC market and profit margins that remain below historical levels. Bernstein analysts noted that while the market and narrative are becoming more supportive, fundamentals are still challenging. Last quarter, Intel benefited from tight capacity, allowing it to sell unexpected inventory, including older and lower-specification products.

Analysts expect Intel to report second-quarter revenue of $14.42 billion, a 12.1% increase from the previous year, with adjusted earnings of 21 cents per share. The adjusted gross profit margin is anticipated to be 38.8%, pressured by significant foundry investments and the costs associated with ramping up new manufacturing processes.

Frequently asked questions

Analysts expect Intel's revenue growth to be driven by a rebound in demand for central processors used to power AI agents and increased traction in its contract manufacturing business.

Winning a contract to manufacture processors for Apple would significantly boost Intel's foundry business and enhance its reputation as a contract manufacturer.

Intel is grappling with weaker demand from the PC market and profit margins that are still below historical highs, despite the boost from AI-related demand.

Analysts expect Intel to report revenue of $14.42 billion, a 12.1% increase year-over-year, with adjusted earnings of 21 cents per share and an adjusted gross profit margin of 38.8%.

What Happens Next

01Intel to report second-quarter results on Thursday.
02Details on potential new customers for Intel's foundry business are expected.

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Cadence
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How It Developed

TE Connectivity forecasts strong Q4 results, driven by high demand for AI-related products.
Intel's quarterly results are expected to show its fastest revenue growth in about six years.
Analysts expect Intel's revenue to grow 12.1% year-over-year to $14.42 billion.
Intel's data center and AI segment is expected to grow 36.4% to $5.37 billion.
Intel's adjusted gross profit margin is expected to be 38.8%.
Intel stock has declined more than 25% from its record close on June 22, but remains 185% higher for the year.

Sources

T1
TE Connectivity projects upbeat quarterly results amid strong AI tools demandReuters

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