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STMicro Raises Data Center Revenue Forecasts on AI Demand

Created at 23 Jul · 5:21 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

STMicroelectronics has significantly increased its revenue projections for its data center chip business, now expecting $1 billion in 2026 and potentially doubling that in 2027, driven by the artificial intelligence boom. The company also reaffirmed its medium-term revenue ambition of $18 billion.

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Key Numbers

$1 billion2026 data center revenue forecast
$72.00Morningstar fair value estimate
45%medium-term gross margin ambition
$18 billionmedium-term revenue ambition
$17.8 billionMorningstar's raised 2027 revenue estimate
$16.3 billionprior FactSet consensus for 2027 revenue

Who's Involved

STMicroelectronics
Chipmaker raising revenue forecasts on AI demand
Morningstar Equity Research
Analyst firm that raised fair value estimate
SpaceX
Partner for low-Earth-orbit satellite business

↳ Why This Matters

STMicroelectronics' increased revenue forecasts and reaffirmed financial targets highlight the significant impact of the AI boom on the semiconductor industry, particularly for companies supplying critical infrastructure components. This suggests strong growth potential for STMicro and indicates a positive outlook for related AI hardware markets.

Key facts

  • STMicroelectronics has significantly increased its revenue forecasts for its data center chip business.
  • The company now projects $1 billion in data center revenue for 2026, up from previous expectations of "nicely above $500 million."
  • STMicro anticipates its data center revenue could double in 2027, exceeding prior estimates of "well above $1 billion."
  • The chipmaker reaffirmed its medium-term revenue target of $18 billion and a gross margin of nearly 45%.
  • Morningstar Equity Research raised its fair value estimate for STMicroelectronics to $72 per share.
  • STMicro has informed customers of upcoming price increases due to tightening capacity.

STMicroelectronics has significantly boosted its revenue projections for its data center chip business, now anticipating $1 billion in revenue for 2026, a substantial increase from previous estimates of "nicely above $500 million." The company also indicated that this revenue could double in 2027, surpassing earlier expectations of "well above $1 billion." These upward revisions are attributed to the burgeoning artificial intelligence boom, which is driving demand for advanced semiconductor components.

At a recent investor conference, STMicro reaffirmed its medium-term financial ambitions, targeting $18 billion in revenue and a gross margin close to 45%. Morningstar Equity Research views these targets as now achievable due to the AI surge. The firm has consequently raised its fair value estimate for STMicroelectronics to $72 per share, citing higher projections for the company's data center and low-Earth-orbit satellite businesses. Morningstar's 2027 revenue estimate has been increased to $17.8 billion, exceeding the FactSet consensus of $16.3 billion, with the expectation that STMicro's own AI revenue projection of $2 billion for 2027 might be conservative.

STMicro's exposure to silicon photonics and high-voltage power semiconductors is seen as a key advantage in the AI infrastructure buildout. The company has also recently communicated potential price increases to customers, which are expected to support gross margins as capacity tightens. Morningstar believes any such windfalls will bolster future profits.

Frequently asked questions

STMicroelectronics now expects to generate $1 billion in revenue from its data center chip business in 2026.

The company aims for $18 billion in revenue and a gross margin of close to 45% in the medium term.

Morningstar increased its fair value estimate to $72 per share due to higher projections for STMicro's data center and low-Earth-orbit satellite businesses, driven by AI demand.

What Happens Next

01STMicro to implement suggested price increases for customers.
02Further updates on data center and LEO chip demand expected.

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How It Developed

STMicroelectronics raised its revenue ambition for its data center chip business.
The company now expects $1 billion of data center revenue in 2026.
STMicro anticipates revenue could double in 2027.
The company confirmed medium-term ambitions of $18 billion of revenue and close to 45% gross margin.
Morningstar raised its fair value estimate for STMicro to $72 per share.
STMicro has issued letters to customers suggesting price increases.
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Sources

T1
STMicro Forecasts Revenue Growth as AI Boom Boosts ChipmakerBloomberg
T2
STMicro: Company Lifts Revenue Forecasts Amid AI Boommorningstar.com

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