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PepsiCo's turnaround falters as US consumers shift snacking habits

Created at 14 Jul · 10:14 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

PepsiCo's North American food business saw sales slip 2% and volumes remain flat in the second quarter, a reversal from earlier modest recovery. This comes as US consumers increasingly opt for healthier foods, influenced by weight-loss drugs and living costs, impacting PepsiCo's snack-heavy portfolio.

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Key Numbers

2%North America food business sales slip
2%First quarter volume growth
4%North America beverage volume fall
21%US households using GLP-1 drugs
9%GLP-1 drug adoption in January 2025
15%Price cuts on some products
58%Revenue from food brands
$4 billionElliott Investment Management stake value

Who's Involved

PepsiCo
Food and beverage company facing shifting consumer preferences
Elliott Investment Management
Activist investor pushing for company changes
Stephanie Link
Chief Investment Officer at Hightower Advisors
Suzy Davidkhanian
Vice President and Principal Analyst at eMarketer
Katherine Machado O'Hara
Founder of marketing consultancy The Oxigeno Project
PepsiCo's turnaround falters as US consumers shift snacking habits

↳ Why This Matters

PepsiCo's struggles highlight a significant shift in consumer behavior impacting the vast snack and beverage market, potentially signaling a long-term challenge for companies reliant on traditional snacking habits. The company's ability to adapt its product innovation and marketing strategies will be crucial for future growth.

Key facts

  • PepsiCo's North American food business sales declined 2% in the second quarter.
  • Volume in the North American food segment was flat, contrasting with a 2% growth in the first quarter.
  • Beverage volume in North America fell 4% in the latest quarter.
  • Approximately 21% of U.S. households are using GLP-1 weight-loss drugs.
  • Consumers are shifting towards foods with higher protein, lower sugar, and added fiber.
  • PepsiCo's food brands account for about 58% of its annual revenue.

PepsiCo's efforts to revitalize its North American business are encountering headwinds as American consumers increasingly rethink their snacking habits, driven by the adoption of weight-loss drugs, rising living costs, and a broader move towards healthier eating. In the second quarter, sales in the company's North American food division fell 2%, with volumes remaining flat, a stark contrast to the modest recovery seen earlier in the year. This marks a reversal from the first quarter, where volumes had improved to around 2%.

The shift in consumer preference towards healthier options, such as higher protein and lower sugar products, is impacting PepsiCo's snack-heavy portfolio, which generates about 58% of its annual revenue. The increasing use of GLP-1 drugs, now in 21% of U.S. households, has led consumers to cut back on sweet and salty treats. Analysts suggest that a turnaround for PepsiCo hinges on its ability to adapt to this demand for functional products, beyond just affordability.

The company's beverage volume in North America also declined by 4% in the latest quarter, further highlighting the challenges when compared to Coca-Cola, which reported 4% growth in the region. This performance disparity has contributed to Coca-Cola's stock rising over 20% year-to-date, while PepsiCo's has fallen around 4%. The results are likely to attract further attention from activist investor Elliott Investment Management, which has previously urged PepsiCo to invigorate its soda business and explore divesting non-core assets.

Frequently asked questions

The shift is attributed to increased adoption of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, rising living costs, and a broader consumer trend towards healthier eating, including foods with higher protein and lower sugar content.

In the second quarter, PepsiCo's North American food business saw sales slip 2% and volumes remain flat, a reversal from earlier growth. Its beverage volume in the region also fell 4%.

PepsiCo's food brands, including Lay's, Doritos, and Cheetos, generate approximately 58% of its annual revenue, making the shift in snacking habits a critical challenge.

While PepsiCo's North America beverage volume fell 4%, Coca-Cola reported 4% growth in the same region, underscoring PepsiCo's portfolio challenges.

What Happens Next

01PepsiCo executives expect gradual improvement in its North America business.
02Activist investor Elliott Investment Management is likely to increase scrutiny on the company's performance.

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How It Developed

PepsiCo's North America food business sales slipped 2% in the second quarter.
Volume was flat in the second quarter, reversing earlier modest recovery.
US consumers are increasingly choosing foods with perceived health benefits.
GLP-1 drug adoption has risen significantly, leading users to consume fewer sweet and salty snacks.
PepsiCo executives indicated improvement in its North America business will be gradual.
Activist investor Elliott Investment Management holds a significant stake and has pushed for changes.

Sources

T1
PepsiCo's turnaround stutters as Americans rethink snackingReuters

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