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UK faces climate test over new oil and gas field approvals

Created at 11 Aug · 5:56 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The UK government is at a critical juncture regarding new oil and gas field approvals, with decisions on the Rosebank and Jackdaw sites imminent. Campaigners argue against extraction due to climate impact and limited economic benefits, while proponents cite energy security and jobs.

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Key Numbers

1.5Cglobal warming limit
300 to 500mbarrels of oil at Rosebank
1%of current UK demand from Rosebank gas
150 mileseast of Aberdeen for Jackdaw
40,000barrels of oil equivalent per day from Jackdaw
6%of UK North Sea gas supply at Jackdaw peak
2%of UK gas imports displaced by Jackdaw
9- to 12-yearlifetime of Jackdaw
27direct full-time jobs from Jackdaw
880jobs created during production across both sites
2,700temporary construction roles
70,000jobs lost in the industry decade to 2024
90%of UK gas and oil already drained
-£12.5mShell's negative UK tax figure in 2024
£18bnShell's global post-tax profits in 2024
up to £80bnspent by Conservatives shielding households from energy price hikes
250mtonnes of CO2 from burning Rosebank's resources

Who's Involved

Miatta Fahnbulleh
Secretary of state for energy security and net zero, previously stated new oil and gas fields are irresponsible.
Andy Burnham
New government figure facing a decision on oil and gas extraction.
Shell
Holds the licence for Jackdaw and majority ownership of Rosebank.
Equinor
Co-owner of Rosebank, majority owned by the Norwegian state.
Ithaca Energy
Subsidiary of Delek Group, holding a minority stake in Rosebank.
Delek Group
Israeli energy conglomerate operating in occupied Palestinian territories.
Greenpeace UK
Co-executive director Areeba Hamid commented on media myths regarding fossil fuels.

↳ Why This Matters

The decision on whether to approve new oil and gas fields like Rosebank and Jackdaw will signal the UK government's commitment to its climate targets and energy transition, impacting future emissions, energy security, and the economy.

Key facts

  • The UK government faces a decision on approving new oil and gas fields at Rosebank and Jackdaw.
  • Rosebank is a major oilfield with an estimated 300-500m barrels of oil, while Jackdaw is a gasfield expected to produce 40,000 bpd.
  • Campaigners argue that new drilling will not significantly lower energy bills or improve long-term security and will exacerbate climate change.
  • Fossil fuel companies claim drilling will bring jobs and energy security, but these assertions are disputed by energy research centers.
  • Labour's manifesto indicated a policy against new North Sea exploration licences, though existing ones would be honored.

The UK government is facing a significant decision regarding the approval of new oil and gas fields, specifically Rosebank and Jackdaw, with public consultations recently closed. This decision is framed as a critical test for the new administration's commitment to climate goals.

Rosebank, located 80 miles off the Shetland coast, is described as the UK's last major undeveloped oil site, potentially holding 300 to 500 million barrels of oil and some gas equivalent to 1% of current demand. Jackdaw, a gasfield 150 miles east of Aberdeen, could produce approximately 40,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, potentially displacing 2% of UK gas imports over its 9- to 12-year lifespan.

Campaigners argue that approving these fields is irresponsible, citing that new drilling will not significantly reduce energy bills or enhance long-term energy security, and will contribute to carbon emissions. They point to the UK Energy Research Centre's assessment that claims of energy resilience from North Sea drilling are a 'delusion'. Furthermore, the job creation figures are disputed, with industry job losses being substantial in recent years.

Fossil fuel companies, including Shell, Equinor, and Ithaca Energy (a subsidiary of Delek Group), which hold licences or stakes in these fields, promote the projects based on job creation and energy security. However, the extracted oil and gas are sold on international markets, meaning UK residents are unlikely to see direct price benefits. Tax revenues are also expected to be limited, with companies like Shell and Equinor having reported negative or low UK tax figures previously.

Burning the resources from Rosebank alone is estimated to produce about 250 million tonnes of CO2 over its lifetime. Despite these concerns, the fields were previously approved under Conservative governments, though these permits were later invalidated by a court following legal challenges from Greenpeace and Uplift.

Labour's 2024 manifesto stated a policy against new North Sea exploration licences, but existing ones would be honored. Insiders suggest a compromise may be reached, potentially approving only Jackdaw due to its lower carbon intensity compared to oil and its ability to connect to existing infrastructure, allowing for quicker development.

Frequently asked questions

Rosebank is a proposed oilfield off the Shetland coast with an estimated 300-500m barrels of oil. Jackdaw is a gasfield east of Aberdeen expected to produce around 40,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.

Shell holds the licence for Jackdaw. Rosebank is majority-owned by Adura, a joint venture between Shell and Equinor, with a minority stake held by Ithaca Energy.

Proponents cite energy security, job creation, and economic benefits. Opponents argue it will increase carbon emissions, do little to lower energy bills, and that North Sea reserves are depleting.

Labour's manifesto ruled out new licences for North Sea exploration, but stated that existing licences would not be revoked.

What Happens Next

01A decision on the approval of the Rosebank and Jackdaw fields is pending.

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How It Developed

Miatta Fahnbulleh, now secretary of state for energy security and net zero, previously stated new oil and gas fields are incompatible with 1.5C warming.
Public consultations on the Jackdaw and Rosebank oil and gas fields have closed.
Rosebank is a proposed oilfield with 300-500m barrels of oil and some gas, located off the Shetland coast.
Jackdaw is a gasfield east of Aberdeen, potentially producing 40,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
Shell holds the licence for Jackdaw; Rosebank is majority-owned by Adura (Shell and Equinor) with a minority stake held by Ithaca Energy (Delek Group subsidiary).
Campaigners dispute claims that drilling will lower energy bills or improve long-term security, citing limited job creation and depleting North Sea reserves.
Extraction of Rosebank's resources would produce approximately 250m tonnes of CO2 over its lifetime.
Under the Conservatives, Rosebank and Jackdaw were approved, but permits were later ruled unlawful by a court.

Sources

T1
Tuesday briefing: To drill or not to drill – Burnham’s first big climate testThe Guardian

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