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Oil Prices Top $90 as Iran Threatens New Chokepoints

Created at 19 Jul · 10:36 PM5 sources↑ Market-relevant5 events
IN SHORT

Oil prices surged past $90 a barrel as intensified fighting between the US and Iran fueled concerns over disruptions to energy shipments. Iran has threatened to close export corridors beyond the Strait of Hormuz, potentially impacting the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

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Key Numbers

$90.95Brent crude price per barrel
$84.04US benchmark crude price per barrel
3.2%Brent crude increase
2.8%US benchmark crude increase

Who's Involved

Iran
threatened to disrupt oil exports beyond the Strait of Hormuz
United States
announced further attacks for a ninth consecutive night
ING
commodities strategists commenting on the escalation
Jonas Goltermann
chief markets economist at Capital Economics
Moonshot AI
Beijing-based company that rolled out a new AI model
Oil Prices Top $90 as Iran Threatens New Chokepoints

↳ Why This Matters

The intensifying conflict between the US and Iran poses a significant risk to global energy supplies, with potential disruptions to key shipping lanes like the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait threatening to drive up oil prices and impact financial markets.

Key facts

  • Oil prices rose as fighting between the US and Iran intensified.
  • Brent crude rose 3.2% to $90.95 per barrel, and US benchmark crude climbed 2.8% to $84.04 per barrel.
  • Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has nearly ground to a halt.
  • Iran has threatened to disrupt oil exports beyond the Strait of Hormuz, potentially impacting the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

Oil prices rose on Monday morning as fighting between the US and Iran intensified, fuelling concerns over disruptions to energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude, the international benchmark, rose 3.2% to $90.95 per barrel, while US benchmark crude climbed 2.8% to $84.04 per barrel.

ING commodities strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey noted that the US and Iran continue to exchange strikes, warning that unchecked escalation could lead to widespread attacks across the Persian Gulf. They added that tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial waterway for global oil transport, has nearly ground to a halt, adding to pressure on supplies.

Markets were also impacted by the rollout of a powerful Chinese AI model by Moonshot AI, which, along with other AI-related shares, declined on Friday. Jonas Goltermann, chief markets economist at Capital Economics, wrote that the return to war in the Strait of Hormuz may start to weigh more heavily on financial markets, especially if strong tech earnings reports continue to be met with skepticism.

Frequently asked questions

Oil prices are rising due to escalating tensions between the US and Iran, which are disrupting shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and threatening other key maritime chokepoints.

The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil trade, handling a substantial portion of the world's oil shipments.

Analysts are concerned that the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, connecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden, could become another major disruption point for oil shipments.

Iran has threatened to disrupt oil exports beyond the Strait of Hormuz, potentially impacting the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, and warned that 'all other export corridors that benefit the US and its allies' could be closed.

What Happens Next

01Markets will continue to monitor the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
02Further Iranian threats or actions could lead to additional oil price volatility.
03The US response to any further disruptions will be closely watched.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Geopolitical risks drive oil as stocks bounce.
    20 Jul · 3:37 PM
  • Geopolitical risks drive oil as stocks bounce.
    20 Jul · 3:37 PM
  • Geopolitical risks drive oil as stocks bounce.
    20 Jul · 3:37 PM

How It Developed

Oil prices surpassed $90 a barrel amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions.
Oil prices surged past $90 a barrel as US and Iran escalated attacks, impacting shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran launched retaliatory attacks on Syria after the US completed its ninth night of strikes, with President Trump vowing further action.
Iran threatens to disrupt oil exports beyond the Strait of Hormuz, potentially impacting the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
Oil prices rose on Monday morning as fighting between the US and Iran intensified, fuelling concerns over disruptions to energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

Sources

T1
Oil Prices Cross $90 a Barrel as U.S.-Iran Conflict WidensThe New York Times
T1
Brent oil tops $90 as US, Iran intensify attacks in Middle EastReuters
T1
Iran launches retaliatory attacks after US completes ninth night of strikesEuronews
T1
Oil prices rise as fighting between US and Iran intensifiesEuronews
T1
Oil Prices Climb for Fourth Day as Iran Threatens New Energy ChokepointsOilPrice.com
T2
Oil surges as US strikes Iran, reversing return to pre-war pricesaljazeera.com
T2
Exclusive: Expert Warns Brent Crude Could Hit $90 Per Barrel As Fresh ...timesnownews.com
T2
US-Iran Tensions Escalate. Iran Announces Closure of Strait to All ...tradingkey.com

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