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Oil and European Gas Prices Surge on Hormuz Traffic Collapse

Created at 13 Jul · 5:36 AM4 sources↑ Market-relevant4 events
IN SHORT

Oil prices jumped 4% and European natural gas futures rose 3% as tensions in the Strait of Hormuz led to a sharp decline in tanker traffic and a suspension of maritime activities by Qatar, threatening LNG shipments.

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Key Numbers

4%oil price surge
$79Brent Crude price per barrel
$74.36WTI Crude price per barrel
five-weeklow for tanker traffic
3%European natural gas price jump
$59.51Dutch TTF Natural Gas Futures (August 2026 contract)
50.43 eurosper megawatt-hour (MWh)

Who's Involved

U.S. and Iran
involved in recent escalation impacting shipping lanes
Qatar's Transport Ministry
issued advisory suspending maritime activity
Windward
maritime intelligence firm noting implications for LNG exports
Fabien Yip
analyst commenting on market assumptions
Oil and European Gas Prices Surge on Hormuz Traffic Collapse

↳ Why This Matters

The escalation of tensions in the Strait of Hormuz threatens critical global energy supply routes, impacting both crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices and potentially complicating Europe's efforts to secure gas supplies for the upcoming winter.

Key facts

  • Oil prices surged 4% on Monday amid U.S.-Iran tensions and a collapse in Strait of Hormuz traffic.
  • Brent Crude topped $79 per barrel and WTI Crude reached $74.36.
  • Tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz hit a five-week low, with vessels using "dark mode" transits.
  • European natural gas prices jumped 3% as Middle East LNG shipments are threatened.
  • Qatar suspended all maritime activities, impacting LNG export flows from Ras Laffan.

Oil prices surged over 4% in Asian trade on Monday, with Brent Crude topping $79 per barrel and WTI Crude reaching $74.36, driven by escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and renewed fears of supply disruptions. Tanker operators are once again switching off transponders when transiting the Strait of Hormuz to avoid detection, a tactic that reappeared following Iranian attacks on commercial ships. Total tanker traffic through the critical chokepoint collapsed to a five-week low.

European benchmark natural gas prices opened 3% higher on Monday, rebounding above the 50-euro threshold, as the renewed hostilities put an abrupt end to the recovery in Middle East LNG exports. Qatar's Transport Ministry issued an urgent advisory urging all maritime vessels to temporarily cease sailing and engaging in maritime activity until further notice, a move that has direct implications for LNG export flows from Ras Laffan. This suspension could tighten the global market just as Europe is scrambling to refill gas storage sites ahead of the next winter, potentially making the process more difficult and expensive.

Frequently asked questions

Prices surged due to increased U.S.-Iran hostilities and renewed fears of supply disruptions, particularly concerning the Strait of Hormuz and its impact on tanker and LNG shipments.

Both Brent Crude and WTI Crude benchmarks saw significant price increases.

The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil and LNG transport, and any disruption there can significantly impact supply and prices.

Qatar's Transport Ministry issued an advisory suspending all maritime vessel activity until further notice due to the heightened tensions.

What Happens Next

01Monitor further military actions and diplomatic responses between the U.S. and Iran.
02Track vessel traffic and security in the Strait of Hormuz.
03Observe inventory levels and supply chain reactions to the ongoing tensions.
04Assess the duration of Qatar's maritime activity suspension and its impact on LNG flows.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Silver futures slide amid rising geopolitical tensions.
    10 Jul · 9:12 PM
  • Silver futures slide amid rising geopolitical tensions.
    10 Jul · 9:12 PM
  • WTI Crude Oil and Natural Gas futures slide to multi-month lows.
    10 Jul · 8:57 PM

How It Developed

Oil prices surged 4% due to U.S.-Iran escalation, with Brent Crude topping $79 and WTI Crude reaching $74.36.
Tankers are again using "dark mode" transits in the Strait of Hormuz due to recent escalations and Iranian attacks, causing a collapse in observable traffic.
Oil prices rose over 4% as tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz hit a five-week low, with an analyst noting the fragility of prior assumptions about US-Iran peace.
European benchmark natural gas prices opened 3% higher as tensions in the Strait of Hormuz threatened Middle East LNG shipments.
Qatar announced a halt to all maritime activities, marking the first blanket suspension by a Gulf state since the conflict began.

Sources

T1
Oil prices spike as Hormuz traffic slows to multi-week lowMiddle East Eye
T1
Oil Prices Surge 4% as U.S.-Iran Escalation Rekindles Supply FearsOilPrice.com
T1
Oil and LNG Tankers Go Dark Again as Hormuz Crisis DeepensOilPrice.com
T1
European Natural Gas Prices Jump on Hormuz EscalationOilPrice.com

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