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Oil prices settle higher, log strongest monthly gain since March

Created at 31 Jul · 9:07 PM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

Oil prices rose over 1% on Friday, marking their strongest monthly gains since March. Concerns over global crude flows, including potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and attacks near the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal, alongside falling US inventories, fueled the upward price pressure.

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Key Numbers

1.1%Friday's Brent crude price increase
$90.04Friday's Brent crude price
>20%July's crude oil price gain
$83.2Friday's West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price
$88Friday's Brent crude price

Who's Involved

Iran
Reported to have attacked tankers in the Strait of Hormuz
US Central Command
Struck dozens of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets in Iran
Houthi militants
Imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia and claimed attacks on tanker vessels
Saudi Arabia
Held talks on forming an alliance to protect Red Sea navigation
Kazakhstan
Important source of oil for European refiners via CPC terminal
Oil prices settle higher, log strongest monthly gain since March

↳ Why This Matters

Escalating geopolitical tensions and supply concerns are driving oil prices higher, impacting global energy markets and potentially contributing to inflation.

Key facts

  • Oil prices rose more than 1% on Friday, with Brent futures closing near $90 a barrel.
  • July marked the strongest monthly gain for oil prices since March, with gains exceeding 20%.
  • Geopolitical tensions, including US-Iran exchanges and Houthi attacks, increased concerns over global oil supply security.
  • Falling US crude inventories contributed to upward price pressure.
  • Disruptions to oil exports from Kazakhstan via the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal were reported.

Oil prices concluded Friday's trading session with gains exceeding $1 per barrel, marking their most significant monthly increase since March. The surge was fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions and mounting concerns over global crude supply disruptions.

Reports emerged of Iranian actions impacting tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global shipping lane. Western maritime authorities have not yet confirmed these specific incidents. However, broader geopolitical risks have intensified, including exchanges of strikes between the US and Iran, and Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, which have previously threatened maritime traffic.

Further supply concerns were amplified by attacks near Russia's Black Sea oil export infrastructure, specifically impacting the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) terminal. This facility is crucial for Kazakhstan's crude exports, a key source for European refiners. Although operations at the CPC terminal were expected to continue, the uncertainty surrounding supply security provided continued support for higher oil prices.

Falling US crude inventories also contributed to the upward price momentum. The US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) traded below $83.2 a barrel, while Brent crude hovered near $88 a barrel. The monthly gains for oil prices in July surpassed 20%, representing the strongest performance since March.

Frequently asked questions

Oil prices were driven by escalating geopolitical tensions, including US-Iran exchanges and Houthi attacks, alongside concerns over global supply disruptions and falling US crude inventories.

The Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea are facing heightened risks due to geopolitical events and attacks on shipping.

The CPC terminal handles most of Kazakhstan's crude exports, which are an important source for European refiners. Attacks near the terminal have raised concerns about these exports.

July's gains were the strongest monthly increase for oil prices since March, indicating a significant upward trend driven by specific market factors.

What Happens Next

01Crude Oil is expected to trade at 93.39 USD/BBL by the end of this quarter.
02Analysts expect Crude Oil to trade at 107.23 USD/BBL in 12 months.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • OPEC+ decision and Nonfarm Payrolls in focus for next week.
    31 Jul · 9:03 PM
  • OPEC+ decision and Nonfarm Payrolls in focus for next week.
    31 Jul · 9:03 PM
  • OPEC+ decision and Nonfarm Payrolls in focus for next week.
    31 Jul · 9:03 PM

How It Developed

Oil prices rose over 1% on Friday, logging their strongest monthly gains since March amid concerns over global crude flows.
Oil prices rose more than $1 on Friday and were on track for a big monthly gain as reports that some tankers were forced to turn around in the Strait of Hormuz prompted traders to reassess shipping fl
Brent futures were up $1.01, or 1.1%, at $90.04 a barrel at 1:26 p.m. ET (1726 GMT).

Sources

T1
Oil prices settle more than 1% higher, log strongest month since MarchPiQSuite
T1
Oil rises as traders assess shipping flows; big monthly gain in sightPiQSuite
T2
Oil set for biggest monthly gain since March as US-Iran war escalates; Brent hovers around $88 - CNBC TV18cnbctv18.com
T2
Crude Oil - Price - Chart - Historical Data - Newstradingeconomics.com

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