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Gold, silver ETFs fall as Middle East tensions, inflation fears weigh

Created at 11 Jun · 4:50 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Gold and silver ETFs experienced significant declines, with some falling up to 7%, as escalating Middle East tensions and rising inflation fears impacted investor sentiment. Crude oil prices also spiked, contributing to the cautious market mood.

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Key Numbers

7%maximum ETF decline
116.32SBI Gold ETF day's low
1%minimum gold ETF decline
3%maximum silver ETF decline
2%MCX silver futures decline
1%gold futures decline
4.2%US consumer inflation increase (12 months through May)
0.4%spot gold price increase
4,089.12spot gold price per ounce
0.3%spot silver price increase
63.86spot silver price per ounce

Who's Involved

SBI
Gold ETF issuer with largest decline
Nippon India ETF Gold BEeS
Gold ETF issuer with significant decline
Tata Gold ETF
Gold ETF issuer with significant decline
HDFC Gold ETF
Gold ETF issuer with significant decline
Kotak Gold ETF
Gold ETF issuer with significant decline
ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund
Silver ETF issuer with largest decline
Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX)
Exchange where gold and silver futures opened lower
Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics
Agency that released US inflation data

↳ Why This Matters

The sharp fall in gold and silver ETFs, driven by geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns, signals a shift in investor sentiment away from safe-haven assets. Rising inflation also increases the likelihood of sustained high interest rates, impacting broader market expectations.

Key facts

  • Gold and silver ETFs fell significantly, with some down as much as 7%.
  • The declines were attributed to escalating Middle East tensions and rising inflation fears.
  • US consumer inflation rose 4.2% in the 12 months through May, the fastest pace in three years.
  • Crude oil prices spiked, contributing to the cautious market sentiment.
  • Spot gold and silver prices saw a slight rebound later in the day.

Gold and silver ETFs experienced sharp declines on Thursday, with some falling as much as 7%, as escalating tensions in the Middle East and fears of rising inflation soured investor sentiment. Crude oil prices also saw a spike following fresh US strikes on Iran, further contributing to the cautious market mood.

SBI Gold ETF was the biggest loser, falling 7% to Rs 116.32. Other gold ETFs from Nippon India, Tata, HDFC, and Kotak also saw declines of around 6%. In total, 16 gold ETFs slipped between 1% to 5%. Among silver ETFs, all 18 listed products posted losses of up to 3%, with ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund's Silver ETF being the worst performer.

In the domestic futures market, MCX silver futures for July 2026 delivery dropped 2% to Rs 2,30,492 per kg, while gold futures for August 2026 delivery slipped 1% to Rs 1,46,444 per 10 grams.

The broader sentiment dampener for ETF demand is the threat of higher inflation. US consumer inflation increased 4.2% in the 12 months through May, the largest gain since April 2023, according to the Labor Department. This data provides ammunition for the Federal Reserve to potentially keep interest rates unchanged longer.

Internationally, spot gold prices rebounded slightly by 0.4% to $4,089.12 per ounce after hitting a six-month low earlier in the day. Spot silver also rose 0.3% to $63.86 per ounce.

Frequently asked questions

Gold and silver ETFs fell due to escalating Middle East tensions and fears of rising inflation, which negatively impacted investor sentiment.

Gold and silver ETFs tumbled up to 7%, with specific ETFs like SBI Gold ETF falling by that amount. Silver ETFs saw losses of up to 3%.

Escalating tensions in the Middle East can lead to spikes in crude oil prices, which in turn drives up gasoline and other energy product costs, contributing to higher inflation.

US consumer inflation increased 4.2% in the 12 months through May, the fastest pace in three years, suggesting persistent inflationary pressures.

What Happens Next

01Monitor further developments in the Middle East conflict.
02Track upcoming US inflation and Federal Reserve policy announcements.
03Observe the performance of gold and silver ETFs in the coming sessions.

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How It Developed

Gold and silver ETFs tumbled up to 7% on Thursday.
SBI Gold ETF fell the most by 7% to Rs 116.32.
Other gold ETFs slipped between 1% to 5%.
All 18 silver ETFs posted losses of up to 3%.
MCX silver futures for July 2026 delivery were down 2% to Rs 2,30,492 per kg.
Gold futures for August 2026 delivery slipped 1% to Rs 1,46,444 per 10 grams.
US consumer inflation increased 4.2% in the 12 months through May.
Spot gold rose 0.4% to $4,089.12 per ounce.

Sources

T1
Gold, silver ETFs tumble up to 7% as US-Iran tensions and inflation fears hit sentiment. Time to buy the dip?The Economic Times

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