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Europe's grain harvest value slashed by €2 billion due to heatwave

Created at 11 Aug · 2:26 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Europe's grain farmers are estimated to have lost €2 billion in revenue due to a June heatwave, which also destroyed 9 million tonnes of crops. The reduced harvest, the smallest since 2018, raises concerns about food security and potential price increases.

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Key Numbers

€2 billionestimated revenue loss for Europe's grain farmers
9 million tonnesestimated crop destruction
2018year of smallest EU/UK harvest since
3.4 million tonnesestimated maize loss in France
€891 millionestimated cost of lost grains in France
2.4 million tonnesestimated grain losses in Hungary
1.4 million tonnesestimated grain losses in Spain

Who's Involved

Coceral
European cereals and oilseeds trade association that made the estimate
Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU)
thinktank estimating the value of lost grain production
Tom Lancaster
ECIU's land, food and farming analyst
Benoît Merlo
French farmer experiencing significant yield losses
Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB)
UK body providing analysis on crop development
National Farmers' Union
UK farmers' representative body
Europe's grain harvest value slashed by €2 billion due to heatwave

↳ Why This Matters

The significant loss in grain production due to extreme weather threatens European food security, potentially leading to higher food prices for consumers and impacting farmers' incomes. It also highlights the vulnerability of agricultural systems to climate change.

Key facts

  • Europe's grain farmers lost an estimated €2 billion in revenue due to a June heatwave.
  • The heatwave destroyed approximately 9 million tonnes of grain crops.
  • This reduction marks the smallest harvest in the EU and UK since 2018.
  • Key crops affected include wheat, barley, maize, and oats.
  • France, Hungary, and Spain are among the countries facing the most significant losses.

Europe's grain industry is facing significant financial losses following a severe heatwave in June, with estimates suggesting a €2 billion reduction in revenue and the destruction of 9 million tonnes of crops. This marks the smallest harvest in the EU and UK since 2018, impacting staple crops like wheat, barley, maize, and oats.

The extreme temperatures, which saw parts of Western Europe average 3°C above normal and reached over 43°C in some areas, coincided with critical growth stages for these crops. Maize was affected during pollination, while wheat suffered during the crucial grain-filling period, when moisture is needed for yield development.

France is expected to bear the brunt of the economic impact, with an estimated loss of 3.4 million tonnes of maize and a financial cost of nearly €891 million. Hungary and Spain also face substantial losses, with millions of tonnes of grain affected.

This reduced harvest is anticipated to increase Europe's reliance on grain imports, potentially driving up global commodity prices. The situation is compounded by drought conditions in the southern and western United States, which are also tightening global crop supplies. The impact on livestock sectors due to higher feed costs is also a concern.

Frequently asked questions

A severe heatwave across Europe in June is estimated to have caused the €2 billion loss in revenue for grain farmers.

Wheat, barley, maize, and oats were significantly impacted, with maize affected during pollination and wheat during the grain-filling stage.

France is expected to have the largest losses, followed by Hungary and Spain.

The reduced European harvest is expected to increase demand for imports, potentially pushing global commodity prices higher.

What Happens Next

01Monitor global commodity prices for upward pressure.
02Assess the impact on European food prices and availability.
03Track import levels of grain into the EU and UK.

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How It Developed

A June heatwave across Europe significantly impacted grain crops.
Coceral estimates the heatwave caused €2 billion in lost revenue and destroyed 9 million tonnes of crops.
The reduced harvest is the smallest in the EU and UK since 2018.
Maize crops were affected during pollination, and wheat during the grain-filling stage.
France, Hungary, and Spain are expected to experience the largest grain losses.
The shortfall is expected to increase Europe's reliance on grain imports and potentially raise global commodity prices.

Sources

T1
EU grain industry reeling from heatwaveWorld Grain
T2
European heatwave wiped €2bn from value of grain crop, analysis estimatesft.com
T2
Food price fears after Europe's heatwave destroys estimated €2bn of ...theguardian.com
T2
Extreme heat cuts more than €2 billion from Europe's grain harvestukragroconsult.com

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