Key facts
- Global coarse grains production is projected to increase for marketing years 2025/26 and 2026/27.
- Corn production drives the increases, with significant contributions expected from India, Brazil, Argentina, and Paraguay.
- Barley production is also forecast to rise in both marketing years.
- Sorghum production for 2025/26 is the only coarse grain with a projected decrease.
- Improved crop prospects have led to lower prices in the coarse grain market.
Global coarse grains prices have fallen due to improved crop prospects for the 2025/26 and 2026/27 marketing years. The outlook indicates an increase in global coarse grains production, with marketing year 2025/26 raised by 15.5 million metric tons and 2026/27 by 5.8 million metric tons. Corn production is the primary driver of these increases, accounting for 14 million MT in 2025/26 and 5 million MT in 2026/27. For the 2025/26 period, corn production is expected to rise in India, Brazil, Argentina, and Paraguay, driven by both increased area and higher yields. These gains are partially offset by a reduction in corn production in Mexico, attributed to lower yield forecasts. The outlook for 2026/27 corn production is solely attributed to India, based on an anticipated increase in harvested area. Additionally, global barley production is projected to increase for both marketing years. Millet production is also raised for 2025/26, and oats production for 2026/27. Sorghum production for 2025/26 is the only coarse grain with a projected decrease, lowered by 0.8 million MT.