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China Crude Oil Imports Hit Decade Low Amid Hormuz Tensions

Created at 14 Jul · 8:06 AM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

China's crude oil imports in June reached a decade low, falling 41.3% year-on-year to 7.12 million barrels per day. High prices and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz contributed to reduced refinery runs and a significant drop in Saudi crude allocations.

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Key Numbers

41.3%year-on-year drop in China's crude oil imports in June
29.27 million tonsChina's crude oil imports in June
7.12 million bpdChina's crude oil imports in June
October 2016last time China's crude oil imports were this low
12%month-on-month decline in imports from May to June
four-year lowrefinery runs in May
$1.50per barrel discount for Arab Light crude below benchmark

Who's Involved

China
world's top crude importer experiencing decade-low imports
Saudi Arabia
major crude oil exporter reducing supply to China
Saudi Aramco
set record-high premium to benchmarks for term supply
Oilchem
China-based consultancy providing refinery run data
China Crude Oil Imports Hit Decade Low Amid Hormuz Tensions

↳ Why This Matters

The sharp decline in China's crude oil imports signals weakening demand and a reshuffling of global oil trade routes due to geopolitical risks, impacting major oil exporters like Saudi Arabia and potentially influencing global oil prices.

Key facts

  • China's crude oil imports in June fell 41.3% year-on-year to 7.12 million barrels per day.
  • This volume represents the lowest crude oil import level for China since October 2016.
  • Imports declined an additional 12% from May to June.
  • Chinese refinery runs reached a four-year low in May and continued to decrease in June.
  • Some Chinese refiners have not nominated term crude cargoes from Saudi Arabia for August.
  • Saudi Arabia has significantly reduced its monthly crude allocations to China compared to last year.

China's crude oil imports in June plummeted to a decade low, falling 41.3% year-on-year to 29.27 million tons, or 7.12 million barrels per day, the lowest since October 2016. This decline extended a trend from May and was exacerbated by high prices and reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz, impacting refinery operations which hit a four-year low in May and further declined in June. Some Chinese refiners have also reduced term crude orders from Saudi Arabia for August due to weak domestic demand, competition, and ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Saudi Arabia had previously set record-high premiums for its crude to Asia but has since slashed prices, facing increased competition from other Gulf exporters offering larger discounts and alternative shipping routes. The re-escalation of tensions in the Strait of Hormuz further disadvantages Saudi Arabia's shipping logistics.

Frequently asked questions

Imports crashed due to higher oil prices resulting from reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and export restrictions on fuels, which decreased refiners' appetite for costly crude and curbed run rates.

The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil supply. Tensions and blockades there directly impact oil prices and availability for major importing nations like China.

Saudi Arabia has significantly reduced its monthly crude allocations to China and slashed the price of its crude oil loading for Asia by the most in two decades, facing increased competition.

What Happens Next

01China may increase crude oil imports if Middle East flows recover and prices stabilize.
02Market participants will monitor developments in the Strait of Hormuz and U.S. policy on Iranian oil exports.

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How It Developed

China's crude oil imports fell to a decade low in June due to high prices and reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
Some Chinese refiners have not nominated term crude cargoes from Saudi Arabia for August, while others have not received provisional allocations.
Saudi Arabia has significantly reduced monthly crude allocations to China since the Iran war began, compared to last year's volumes.
Saudi Arabia slashed the price of its crude oil loading for Asia next month by the most in two decades.
Competition from other Gulf oil exporters offering bigger discounts and loadings from outside the Strait of Hormuz disadvantages Saudi Arabia.
Re-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz disadvantages Saudi Arabia in shipping crude.

Sources

T1
China’s Crude Oil Imports Crash to Decade Low as Hormuz Crisis BitesOilPrice.com
T1
China Cuts Saudi Crude Orders as Hormuz Risks and Discounts Reshape TradeOilPrice.com

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