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Kalshi Demands Netflix Remove Trailer for 'Prediction Games' Documentary

Created at 25 Jul · 5:11 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Prediction market Kalshi has sent Netflix a cease-and-desist letter, alleging its upcoming documentary trailer contains defamatory and misleading statements, including fabricated documents. Kalshi claims the trailer falsely depicts current trading activity in Nevada, where the company is banned.

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Key Numbers

May 16, 2025date of bet screenshot
July 19, 2026date depicted in trailer
July 17, 2026date footage was filmed

Who's Involved

Kalshi
prediction market that sent Netflix a cease-and-desist letter
Netflix
streaming service with an upcoming documentary
Tarek Mansour
CEO of Kalshi
Shayne Coplan
CEO of Polymarket
Kalshi Demands Netflix Remove Trailer for 'Prediction Games' Documentary

↳ Why This Matters

The dispute highlights the potential legal and reputational risks associated with documentaries that portray financial platforms, particularly in the rapidly evolving prediction market industry. It also raises questions about journalistic practices and the responsibility of streaming services in depicting sensitive content.

Key facts

  • Kalshi sent Netflix a cease-and-desist letter demanding the removal of a trailer for the documentary 'Instadocs: The Prediction Games'.
  • Kalshi alleges the trailer contains defamatory content, including fabricated documents and misleading statements.
  • The company claims the trailer falsely suggests active trading in Nevada, where Kalshi is banned by court order.
  • Netflix acknowledges a bet shown in the trailer was made prior to the Nevada ban but denies fabricating footage.
  • Prediction market Kalshi has issued a cease-and-desist letter to Netflix, demanding the removal of the trailer for an upcoming documentary titled 'Instadocs: The Prediction Games.' Kalshi asserts that the trailer is defamatory, containing fabricated documents and misleading statements that falsely depict current trading activity in Nevada, a state where the company is currently banned from operating.

    The documentary, part of Netflix's 'Instadoc' series, features interviews with the CEOs of both Polymarket and Kalshi. However, the trailer focuses on a gathering of individuals who have profited significantly from prediction markets, showing one guest expressing a preference for betting on Kalshi and displaying a screenshot of a bet.

    Kalshi contends that the bet shown, made on May 16, 2025, predates the Nevada ban. They argue that Netflix misled viewers by implying this individual was actively trading on July 19, 2026, in Nevada. Kalshi also stated they had spoken with a Netflix employee who initially agreed not to feature the receipt in the final documentary, but the company proceeded to use it in the trailer.

    A Netflix spokesperson acknowledged that the screenshot of the bet was indeed made prior to the Nevada court order. However, they maintained that none of the documentary's footage was fabricated and that the specific trades referenced are private matters between the individual trader and the platform used.

    Frequently asked questions

    Kalshi is a prediction market platform that allows users to trade on the outcome of future events.

    The article states Kalshi is banned from operating in Nevada due to a court order, but does not specify the reasons for the order.

    It is an upcoming documentary from Netflix, part of its 'Instadoc' series, focusing on the rise of prediction markets.

    What Happens Next

    01Netflix will decide whether to remove the trailer or the specific footage from the documentary.
    02The documentary 'Instadocs: The Prediction Games' is scheduled for release on Sunday, July 26.

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    Cadence

    How It Developed

    Kalshi sent Netflix a cease-and-desist letter regarding the trailer for 'Instadocs: The Prediction Games'.
    Kalshi claims the trailer is defamatory, containing fabricated documents and misleading statements.
    The trailer allegedly misrepresents a screenshot of a bet made before a Nevada ban as current trading activity.
    Kalshi states a Netflix employee initially agreed not to feature the receipt in the documentary.
    Netflix acknowledges the bet screenshot predates the Nevada ban but asserts no documentary footage was fabricated.
    Netflix stated that specific trades referenced are between the individual and the app used.
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    Sources

    T1
    Kalshi demands Netflix take down trailer for ‘Prediction Games’ documentaryTechCrunch

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