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Philippines Q2 GDP Grows 2.3%, Missing Forecasts

Created at 7 Aug · 2:09 AM4 sources↑ Market-relevant3 events
IN SHORT

The Philippine economy expanded 2.3% year-on-year in the second quarter, falling short of the 2.8% growth predicted by economists. Quarterly growth also slowed, and the government revised its full-year forecast downwards.

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Key Numbers

2.3%Philippines Q2 GDP growth yr/yr
2.8%Reuters poll forecast for Q2 GDP growth
0.6%Q2 seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter growth
0.9%Q1 seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter growth
6.2%July annual inflation rate
6.4%June annual inflation rate
3.5% to 4.5%Revised full-year growth forecast
5% to 6%GDP growth target for 2027-2030

Who's Involved

Philippine Statistics Agency
Reported the second-quarter GDP growth figures
Reuters poll economists
Forecasted 2.8% GDP growth for the second quarter
Philippines Q2 GDP Grows 2.3%, Missing Forecasts

↳ Why This Matters

The slower-than-expected economic growth poses challenges for the Philippines, potentially impacting consumer spending, government revenue, and the nation's ability to meet its development targets.

Key facts

  • The Philippine economy grew 2.3% year-on-year in the second quarter.
  • Economists had forecast 2.8% growth for the second quarter.
  • Quarterly growth slowed to 0.6% in Q2 from 0.9% in Q1.
  • Annual inflation eased to 6.2% in July.
  • The government cut its full-year growth forecast to 3.5%-4.5%.

The Philippine economy expanded 2.3% year-on-year in the second quarter, falling short of the 2.8% growth predicted by economists in a Reuters poll. On a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, the economy grew 0.6% in the April-June period, a slowdown from 0.9% in the previous quarter. Annual inflation eased for a third consecutive month in July to 6.2% from 6.4% in June, primarily due to a slower increase in transport costs. The government has revised its full-year growth forecast downwards to between 3.5% and 4.5%, citing the Middle East crisis and a corruption scandal that has hampered public spending. The budget planning committee has set a GDP growth target of 5% to 6% for the period between 2027 and 2030.

Frequently asked questions

The Philippine economy grew 2.3% year-on-year in the second quarter.

Economists in a Reuters poll had expected a growth rate of 2.8% for the second quarter.

The second-quarter growth rate of 2.3% matched the growth rate seen in the first quarter.

The economy was impacted by an energy shock and reduced public spending due to a corruption scandal.

The government cut its full-year growth forecast to between 3.5% and 4.5%.

What Happens Next

01The budget planning committee has set a GDP growth target of 5% to 6% for 2027 to 2030.

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Cadence

How It Developed

The Philippine economy grew 2.3% year-on-year in Q2, missing the expected 2.8% growth.
Philippine Q2 GDP grew 2.3% due to energy shock and corruption scandal impacting public spending.
Philippines Q2 GDP grew 2.3% yr/yr, slower than expected, with quarterly growth also slowing.
The Philippine economy expanded 2.3% in the second quarter from a year earlier, impacted by high fuel prices and lower public spending.

Sources

T1
Philippines Q2 GDP at 2.3% yr/yr, slower than expectedReuters
T1
Philippine GDP grew 2.3% in Q2 as energy shock, inflation biteNikkei Asia
T1
Philippine GDP growth slows further to 2.3% in Q2 as inflation bitesNikkei Asia
T2
PDF DOC_Quarterly GDP 2025 Q2 Report - mbc.com.phmbc.com.ph

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