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Mexico's economy grows at fastest pace since late 2020 in Q2

Created at 30 Jul · 12:43 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Mexico's economy expanded 1.5% in the second quarter, marking its fastest growth since late 2020. The rebound followed a 0.6% contraction in the first quarter and surpassed economists' expectations.

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Key Numbers

1.5%second quarter GDP growth
late 2020last time economy grew this fast
0.6%first quarter GDP contraction
3.3%primary activities growth
1.6%secondary sector growth
1.5%services activity growth
2.2%year-on-year GDP growth
1.3%economists' expected Q2 growth
1.5%economists' expected year-on-year growth

Who's Involved

INEGI
Mexico's national statistics agency
Reuters
news agency that polled economists
Itau
provided analysis on economic rebound
International Monetary Fund
lowered Mexico's growth forecast
Ministry of Finance
has a more optimistic GDP growth estimate
Mexico's economy grows at fastest pace since late 2020 in Q2

↳ Why This Matters

The strong quarterly growth indicates a robust recovery for Latin America's second-largest economy, exceeding market expectations and suggesting resilience despite previous contractions and global economic uncertainties.

Key facts

  • Mexico's economy grew 1.5% in the second quarter.
  • This marks the fastest quarterly growth since late 2020.
  • The expansion followed a 0.6% contraction in the first quarter.
  • Primary activities, including farming, fishing, and mining, led the growth with a 3.3% increase.
  • Year-on-year growth reached 2.2%.

Mexico's economy experienced a significant rebound in the second quarter, growing by 1.5% according to preliminary estimates from the national statistics agency INEGI. This marks the fastest pace of expansion since late 2020 and follows a 0.6% contraction in the first quarter. The growth exceeded economists' expectations of a 1.3% increase.

All three main sectors of the economy contributed to the expansion. Primary activities, which include farming, fishing, and mining, saw the most substantial growth at 3.3% sequentially. The secondary sector, comprising manufacturing and construction, increased by 1.6%, while services activity grew by 1.5%.

On an annual basis, the Mexican economy grew 2.2% in the second quarter, also surpassing the 1.5% year-on-year rise anticipated by economists. Analysts from Itau noted that the expected improvement reflects a rebound in industrial activity and continued, albeit moderate, growth in services.

The International Monetary Fund had previously lowered its growth forecast for Mexico to 1.2% for the year, but the government's Ministry of Finance remains more optimistic, projecting growth between 1.8% and 2.8%.

Frequently asked questions

Mexico's economy grew 1.5% in the second quarter, according to preliminary estimates.

The second-quarter growth follows a 0.6% contraction in the first quarter.

Primary activities, including farming, fishing, and mining, saw the largest sequential expansion at 3.3%.

The Mexican economy grew 2.2% compared to the same quarter last year.

What Happens Next

01Mexico's statistics agency will release its final estimate of second-quarter GDP.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Mexico's economy grew 1.5% in the second quarter, according to INEGI.
The growth rate was the fastest since late 2020.
The expansion followed a 0.6% contraction in the first quarter.
Primary activities, including farming, fishing, and mining, saw a 3.3% increase.
The secondary sector, encompassing manufacturing and construction, grew 1.6%.
Services activity increased by 1.5% during the period.
Year-on-year growth was 2.2%, exceeding the 1.5% forecast.

Sources

T1
Mexico's economy grows at fastest pace since late 2020 in Q2Reuters
T2
Mexico economy likely rebounded in second quarterin.marketscreener.com
T2
Poll says Mexico’s economy recovered in the second quarter - The Yucatan Timestheyucatantimes.com

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