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Japanese investors favor India over China for long-term growth: Nomura

Created at 11 Jun · 7:16 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Japanese investors are increasingly viewing India as a key long-term structural investment destination, shifting away from China due to geopolitical tensions and a search for domestic demand, policy stability, and supply-chain relevance. Nomura's Tsutomu Takemura highlighted India's attractiveness in infrastructure, financial services, and real estate.

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Key Numbers

$9 billionJapanese investment in India last year
3-5 yearsExpected timeframe for India's M&A prominence

Who's Involved

Tsutomu Takemura
Senior Managing Director and Global Head of Investment Banking at Nomura
Nomura
Financial institution discussing India's investment attractiveness
GPIF
Japanese pension fund investing in infrastructure funds

↳ Why This Matters

This shift in Japanese investment strategy highlights a broader global trend of capital reallocation driven by geopolitical factors and the search for stable, high-growth markets, with India positioned as a key beneficiary.

Key facts

  • Japanese investors are increasingly prioritizing India over China for long-term investments.
  • India is seen as attractive due to its domestic demand, policy stability, and supply-chain relevance.
  • Japanese entities invested an estimated $9 billion in India last year, mainly in financial services.
  • Infrastructure, financial services, and real estate are key sectors for Japanese investment in India.
  • India's renewable energy and battery storage sectors are identified as significant investment opportunities.

India is emerging as a preferred long-term investment destination for Japanese capital, with investors shifting focus from China due to geopolitical tensions and a search for markets offering domestic demand, policy stability, and supply-chain relevance. Tsutomu Takemura, senior managing director and global head of investment banking at Nomura, stated that India provides a rare combination of growth, scale, and supply-chain diversification benefits.

Japanese companies and financial institutions invested an estimated $9 billion in India last year, a significant acceleration of interest, particularly in the financial services sector. Takemura noted that while existing investments in China are being maintained, there is limited appetite for new capital deployment there. He expects India to be one of Asia's most important M&A destinations alongside Japan over the next three to five years.

Japanese investors are showing strong interest in India's infrastructure, which now encompasses data centers, logistics, renewable energy, and transmission assets. Financial services and real estate are also key areas of focus. Large Japanese pension funds, such as GPIF, are increasingly investing in global infrastructure funds that are deploying capital into markets like India.

The energy transition in India presents a significant opportunity, with ample space for solar and renewable projects, and a growing need for battery storage solutions. However, challenges remain for Indian pharmaceutical companies looking to enter the Japanese market due to Japan's stringent healthcare regulations and pharmaceutical pricing policies.

Frequently asked questions

Geopolitical tensions between the US and China, coupled with a desire for markets offering domestic demand, policy stability, and supply-chain relevance, are driving Japanese investors to seek alternatives to China.

Key sectors include infrastructure (roads, data centers, logistics, renewables), financial services, and real estate.

Japanese companies and financial institutions invested an estimated $9 billion in India last year.

Japan's heavily regulated healthcare system, focus on cost control, and pharmaceutical pricing policies create significant hurdles for both generic and innovative drug manufacturers.

What Happens Next

01Nomura expects India to be a leading Asian M&A destination in the next 3-5 years.
02Japanese investors will likely continue to explore opportunities in India's infrastructure and renewable energy sectors.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Japanese investors are increasingly viewing India as a long-term structural investment destination.
Global capital is moving towards markets offering domestic demand, policy stability, and supply-chain relevance.
India offers growth, scale, and supply-chain diversification benefits, making it attractive.
Japanese corporate investors show reduced appetite for fresh capital deployment in China due to geopolitical tensions.
Japanese financial institutions deployed approximately $9 billion in India last year, primarily in financial services.
Infrastructure, including data centers, logistics, and renewable energy, is attracting significant Japanese investor attention in India.
Japanese pension funds like GPIF are investing in global infrastructure funds that deploy capital into India.
India's renewable energy sector and battery storage present substantial investment opportunities.

Sources

T1
Japanese investors are looking beyond China... India is key alternative: Tsutomu Takemura, Senior MD, NomuraThe Economic Times

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