All NewsEducationTV
Equities & FundsCrypto & Digital AssetsAI & TechnologyBusiness & CorporateUS Politics & PolicyGeopolitics & Global RiskMacro, Rates & FXCommodities & EnergyEuropean Politics & MarketsAsia-PacificReal Estate & Property
Story archiveAll categories
← All Stories

Indonesia Q2 GDP grows 5.29% y/y, beating forecasts

Created at 5 Aug · 4:21 AM3 sources↑ Market-relevant3 events
IN SHORT

Indonesia's economy expanded 5.29% year-on-year in the second quarter, surpassing expectations and driven by manufacturing and export growth. However, concerns remain about the impact of global demand and new tariffs on future growth.

✉Newsletter

PiQ Daily

Pick your topics. Get only what matters, on your cadence.

Key Numbers

5.29%Q2 GDP growth year-on-year
5.10%Reuters poll forecast for Q2 GDP growth
5.61%Q1 GDP growth year-on-year
10.67%Export growth year-on-year
4.97%Household consumption growth year-on-year
25 basis pointsJuly benchmark interest rate cut
5.25%Bank Indonesia benchmark interest rate

Who's Involved

Statistics Indonesia
Released official economic data
Prabowo Subianto
President of Indonesia
Perry Warjiyo
Bank Indonesia Governor who resigned
Indonesia Q2 GDP grows 5.29% y/y, beating forecasts

↳ Why This Matters

The GDP figures provide insight into the resilience of Southeast Asia's largest economy amidst global economic headwinds and potential impacts from trade policies.

Key facts

  • Indonesia's economy grew 5.29% year-on-year in Q2, exceeding the 5.10% forecast.
  • GDP grew 5.61% year-on-year in the January-March period.
  • Manufacturing, agriculture, and construction expanded in Q2.
  • Export growth surged 10.67% year-on-year.
  • Household consumption grew 4.97% year-on-year.
  • Bank Indonesia cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.25% in July.

Indonesia's economy expanded 5.29% year-on-year in the second quarter, surpassing the 5.10% forecast in a Reuters poll and marking a slight deceleration from the first quarter's 5.61% growth. The growth was driven by manufacturing, agriculture, and construction, while the mining sector contracted. Export growth surged 10.67% year-on-year, boosted by pre-tariff order front-loading. Household consumption grew 4.97% year-on-year. Bank Indonesia cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.25% in July to support economic growth. Analysts express caution about sustained momentum in the second half due to weaker global demand and the impact of new US tariffs.

Frequently asked questions

Indonesia's economy grew 5.29% year-on-year in the second quarter, according to official data.

Yes, the growth exceeded forecasts. A Reuters poll predicted 5.10%.

Manufacturing, agriculture, and construction expanded, and export growth surged, boosted by front-loading orders ahead of new US tariffs.

Analysts are concerned about weaker global demand, slowing trade, and the impact of new US tariffs, which could moderate growth.

What Happens Next

01Economists expect growth to moderate in the second half of the year.
02Further rate cuts by Bank Indonesia are anticipated before year-end.

Get the newsletter.

Pick the topics you actually care about. We'll email when there's news worth your time, on the cadence you choose. Cancel any time from your account.

Cadence

How It Developed

Indonesia's economy grew 5.29% year-on-year in Q2, exceeding the 5.10% forecast.
Indonesia's Q2 GDP growth slowed from the previous quarter but beat expectations.
Manufacturing, agriculture, and construction expanded in Q2, while mining contracted.
Household consumption grew 4.97% year-on-year.
Export growth surged 10.67% year-on-year, boosted by pre-tariff order front-loading.
Bank Indonesia cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.25% in July.

Sources

T1
Indonesia's Q2 GDP growth at 5.29% y/yReuters
T1
Indonesia's GDP growth slows to 5.29% in Q2Nikkei Asia
T2
Indonesia Q2 GDP growth at 5.12% y/y, beats expectationsbusinesstimes.com.sg

Related Stories

India services growth hits over 4-year low in July amid demand slump
5 Aug · 1:56 AM
Hong Kong retail sales rise 4.6% in June
4 Aug · 8:50 AM
Indonesia's Prabowo and '9 Dragons' on collision course
5 Aug · 12:05 AM
Tesla China EV Sales Up 37.8% in July
4 Aug · 11:53 AM
BYD launches first Brazilian-made plug-in hybrid flex car
4 Aug · 1:59 PM