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India's infrastructure output rises 4% y/y in June, slowest pace in nearly two years

Created at 20 Jul · 11:46 AM2 sources↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

India's infrastructure output grew 5% year-on-year in June, the slowest pace in nearly two years, according to revised government data. The slowdown was driven by moderating electricity demand and contractions in five of the eight core sectors.

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Key Numbers

5%India infrastructure output growth in June
20 monthsslowest pace of infrastructure output growth
9.3%steel output growth in June
9.2%cement output growth in June
-1.5%refinery products output decline in June
-2.6%crude oil production decline in June
7.7%electricity generation growth in June

Who's Involved

Ministry of Commerce and Industry
Released data on India's core infrastructure sector growth
Aditi Nayar
Economist at ICRA commenting on infrastructure output
India's infrastructure output rises 4% y/y in June, slowest pace in nearly two years

↳ Why This Matters

The slowdown in infrastructure output suggests that India's industrial production index (IIP) for June may grow between 3.5% and 5%, indicating a potential moderation in the country's economic momentum.

Key facts

  • India's infrastructure output grew 5% year-on-year in June.
  • This is the slowest pace of growth in nearly two years.
  • Five of the eight core infrastructure sectors contracted.
  • Steel and cement production saw positive growth.
  • Refinery products and crude oil output declined.

India's infrastructure output saw a 5% year-on-year increase in June, representing the slowest growth rate in nearly two years, according to government data. This moderation is attributed to factors such as the monsoon season impacting electricity demand and a contraction in five of the eight core infrastructure sectors.

While overall growth slowed, specific sectors showed mixed performance. Steel and cement production experienced robust positive growth of 9.3% and 9.2% respectively. However, refinery products saw a decline of 1.5%, and crude oil production fell by 2.6%. Electricity generation, a key component, grew at a slower pace of 7.7% compared to 13.7% in May.

This revised data series, with 2022-23 as the base year, now includes iron ore, expanding the basket of monitored industries to nine. Previously, infrastructure output had grown by a revised 3.2% in May. The slowdown in infrastructure output suggests that India's industrial production index (IIP) for June may grow between 3.5% and 5%.

Frequently asked questions

India's infrastructure output measures the activity in eight core sectors, including refinery products and electricity. It accounts for 40% of India's industrial production.

The slowdown is attributed to moderating electricity demand due to the monsoon season and a contraction in five of the eight core infrastructure sectors.

Steel and cement output recorded positive growth in June.

Refinery products and crude oil output recorded negative growth in June.

What Happens Next

01India's index for industrial production (IIP) for June will be released on August 12.

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Cadence

How It Developed

India's infrastructure output increased 5% year-on-year in June.
This marks the slowest pace of growth in nearly two years.
The slowdown is partly due to moderating electricity demand amid monsoons.
Five of the eight core infrastructure sectors experienced a contraction in output.
Steel and cement production saw positive growth, while refinery products and crude oil output declined.

Sources

T1
India's infrastructure output rises 5% y/y in JuneReuters
T1
India's infrastructure output rises 5% y/y in June under new seriesPiQSuite
T2
India's core sector growth rises to three-month high of 1.7% in Juneeconomictimes.indiatimes.com
T2
India's June infrastructure output rises at slowest pace in nearly two ...infra.economictimes.indiatimes.com

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