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Zambia election overshadowed by late rival's legacy

Created at 13 Aug · 4:16 AM2 sources↑ Market-relevant2 events
IN SHORT

Zambians are voting in a presidential election where incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema faces challenges from opposition leader Brian Mundubile. The election is significantly influenced by the legacy and burial dispute of former President Edgar Lungu, Hichilema's late rival.

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Key Numbers

8.8 millionregistered voters in Zambia
22 millioncountry's population
13other presidential candidates
June 2025month Edgar Lungu died
36opposition members detained during campaign
6.5%current annual inflation rate
24.6%inflation rate in July 2021
2022year free primary and secondary education was introduced
50%increase in university accommodation allowance

Who's Involved

Hakainde Hichilema
Incumbent President of Zambia seeking a second term
Edgar Lungu
Late predecessor to President Hichilema, whose legacy haunts the election
Brian Mundubile
Main opposition challenger and leader of the Tonse Alliance
Makebi Zulu
Running mate to Brian Mundubile and former spokesperson for the Lungu family
Transparency International Zambia
Organization monitoring election incidents

↳ Why This Matters

The election outcome will determine the direction of Zambia's economic policies and its approach to foreign investment and debt management, while also reflecting the electorate's satisfaction with the current administration's handling of cost-of-living issues and political freedoms.

Key facts

  • Zambians are voting in a presidential election with incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema seeking a second term.
  • The election is heavily influenced by the legacy and burial dispute of former President Edgar Lungu, Hichilema's late rival.
  • Opposition leader Brian Mundubile is Hichilema's main challenger, promising to facilitate Lungu's burial in Zambia.
  • The opposition accuses Hichilema of authoritarian tactics, which his team denies.
  • Zambia's economy has stabilized with reduced inflation, but the cost of living remains a concern for voters.

Zambians began casting their votes on Thursday in a presidential election that will determine if incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema's economic reforms have been sufficient to overcome widespread frustration over the cost of living. Approximately 8.8 million people are registered to vote in the one-day election, which also includes parliamentary and local councilor races. Results are anticipated by Monday. Hichilema faces 13 other candidates, with opposition leader Brian Mundubile of the Tonse Alliance expected to be his strongest challenger. The election is largely seen as a referendum on Hichilema's economic stewardship since he took office in 2021. He contends that he inherited a struggling economy and has since overseen the restructuring of Zambia's substantial foreign debt, fostered economic growth, and attracted investment. However, many citizens report that they have not experienced these benefits, as unemployment, rising food prices, and an unreliable electricity supply continue to burden households. The election's political climate is significantly shaped by the legacy of former President Edgar Lungu, Hichilema's late arch-rival, who died in June 2025. A dispute over Lungu's burial, initially involving the Zambian government's attempt to prevent a state funeral, led to a legal battle. South Africa's supreme court of appeal ultimately ruled in favor of Lungu's family, overturning a lower court's decision that had supported the government. Mundubile and his running mate, Makebi Zulu, who previously served as the Lungu family's spokesperson, have pledged to ensure Lungu receives a dignified burial in Zambia. Experts highlight the cultural importance of funeral rites in Zambia and how perceived disrespect can negatively impact an incumbent's public image. The opposition has also leveled accusations of authoritarian conduct against Hichilema's administration during the campaign, citing office raids and the detention of 36 members of Mundubile's team. Hichilema's supporters have strongly refuted these claims, drawing parallels to Lungu's alleged suppression of the opposition in 2021, when Hichilema himself faced multiple arrests and media outlets experienced shutdowns. Transparency International Zambia has documented instances where police have disrupted opposition rallies, suggesting a potential bias against opposition parties. Activists have also reported the suppression of peaceful demonstrations. Economically, Zambia has experienced stabilization since its 2020 debt default under Lungu's presidency. Annual inflation has decreased to 6.5% from 24.6% in July 2021, and the government has introduced free primary and secondary education. The country has also attracted international investment, particularly in its copper sector. Hichilema recently announced a 50% increase in the university accommodation allowance for students. Nevertheless, the cost of living remains a significant concern for voters, with average incomes having risen but prices nearly doubling between 2021 and 2025.

Frequently asked questions

The main contenders are incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema and opposition leader Brian Mundubile.

Edgar Lungu, the late former president and arch-rival of Hichilema, remains a significant figure due to ongoing disputes over his burial and his legacy influencing the opposition's campaign.

Zambia's economy has stabilized with significantly reduced inflation since 2021, and the government has implemented free education and attracted investment, though the cost of living remains a concern for citizens.

What Happens Next

01Zambians will vote for their president, MPs, and local councillors.
02The results of the election will be announced.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Zambian elections are overshadowed by the ongoing feud and burial dispute involving the late arch-rival of incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema.
Zambians began casting their votes in a presidential election to determine if President Hakainde Hichilema's economic reforms were sufficient.
Around 8.8 million people are registered to vote in the one-day election for president, members of Parliament, and local councilors.
Results are expected on Monday, according to the electoral commission.
Hichilema faces 13 other candidates, with Brian Mundubile of an opposition alliance considered his strongest challenger.
The election is viewed as a referendum on Hichilema's economic policies since taking office in 2021.
Hichilema argues he inherited an economy in crisis and has since overseen debt restructuring, economic growth, and attracted investors.
Many Zambians report not feeling the economic benefits due to unemployment, high food prices, and unstable electricity.

Sources

T1
Zambia votes as president seeks second termAP News
T1
Zambia elections haunted by ghost of incumbent president’s arch-rivalThe Guardian

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