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Will Andy Burnham's leadership help Labour regain Barnsley voters?

Created at 14 Aug · 3:31 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Labour faces a test in Barnsley, a town that saw a significant Reform UK victory in local elections. With Andy Burnham now leading the party nationally, some voters who previously supported Reform are considering returning to Labour, citing Burnham's perceived effectiveness and dissatisfaction with Nigel Farage.

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Key Numbers

50years since Labour's worst performance
11Labour councillors in Barnsley
42Reform UK councillors in Barnsley
100days since local elections
2point lead for Labour in national polls
24Labour's national poll percentage
22Reform UK's national poll percentage
1,000voters spoken to in Penistone East ward
2023year Barnsley council won awards
2.5million pounds saved by free school uniform scheme

Who's Involved

Andy Burnham
New Labour leader and former mayor of Greater Manchester
James Higginbottom
Labour group opposition leader in Barnsley
Nigel Farage
Reform UK leader
Richard Riding
Retired HGV driver and former Labour voter
Martin Harvey
Lifelong Labour supporter concerned about immigration
Jessica Morgan
Retail worker and first-time Reform UK voter
Marie Tidball
Labour MP for Penistone and Stocksbridge
Keith Hibbert
Retired project manager, cautiously optimistic about Burnham
Jill Hibbert
Former nurse, switched to Reform UK based on manifesto
Dan Jarvis
MP for Barnsley North
Stephanie Peacock
MP for Barnsley South

↳ Why This Matters

The outcome in Barnsley could signal whether Labour, under new leadership, is successfully regaining trust among voters who previously defected to Reform UK, potentially indicating a broader national trend ahead of future elections.

Key facts

  • Labour lost its Barnsley council majority to Reform UK in recent local elections.
  • Andy Burnham is the new national leader of the Labour party.
  • A recent poll shows Labour with a slight national lead over Reform UK.
  • Some former Labour voters in Barnsley who switched to Reform are now considering returning to Labour.
  • A crucial byelection in Barnsley is seen as a test of Labour's ability to regain voter trust.

Labour is facing a critical test in Barnsley, a town where the party suffered a significant defeat in recent local elections, losing its council to Reform UK. The article explores whether the new national leadership under Andy Burnham can win back voters who expressed dissatisfaction with the party.

In May, Labour's performance in Barnsley was its worst in over 50 years, with Reform UK securing 42 seats and leaving Labour with just 11 councillors. James Higginbottom, the new Labour group opposition leader in Barnsley, described the Reform victory as unexpectedly large. Nationally, the political landscape has shifted, with a recent YouGov poll showing Labour with a two-point lead over Reform UK.

Interviews with Barnsley residents reveal a mixed picture. Richard Riding, a retired HGV driver who usually votes Labour but backed Reform in May for a change, expressed a willingness to return to Labour, citing Burnham's positive record in Manchester and his dislike for Nigel Farage. However, Martin Harvey, who has been Labour all his life, plans to stick with Reform due to concerns about immigration. Jessica Morgan, a retail worker, voted Reform for the first time and remains satisfied with her decision, highlighting local issues like road repairs.

Despite Barnsley Labour council's previous accolades for innovative initiatives like 'health on the high street' and free bus travel for under-18s, voters punished the party at the ballot box, largely due to national issues. Reform has since scaled back some of these initiatives.

A upcoming byelection in the Penistone East ward is seen as a key indicator of Labour's progress in reconnecting with voters. Labour sources are confident of winning the seat. Marie Tidball, MP for Penistone and Stocksbridge, has observed a positive shift in voter attitudes, attributing it to Burnham's leadership. Keith and Jill Hibbert, a couple who previously voted Labour, are cautiously optimistic about Burnham, viewing him as a fresh face for the party. MPs Dan Jarvis and Stephanie Peacock also noted increased openness from residents towards Labour.

Frequently asked questions

Labour experienced its worst performance in over 50 years, losing its council majority to Reform UK, which secured 42 seats while Labour was left with 11.

Andy Burnham, the former mayor of Greater Manchester, is the new leader of the Labour party.

Voters cited dissatisfaction with national government, concerns about immigration, and local issues like road repairs as reasons for their voting choices.

The byelection is considered a crucial test of whether Labour can reconnect with voters who previously supported Reform UK.

What Happens Next

01A byelection in the Penistone East ward will serve as a barometer for Labour's voter reconnection efforts.
02Labour aims to speak with over 1,000 voters in the Penistone East ward before polling day.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Labour experienced its worst local election performance in Barnsley in over 50 years, losing its council majority to Reform UK.
Reform UK secured 42 seats in Barnsley, while Labour was left with 11 councillors.
James Higginbottom, the new Labour group opposition leader in Barnsley, acknowledged the unexpected scale of the Reform victory.
Andy Burnham replaced Keir Starmer as prime minister after a byelection victory, following Starmer's resignation.
Nigel Farage was re-elected in Clacton, though the contest was viewed as a sideshow.
A YouGov poll shows Labour with a two-point lead nationally over Reform UK.
Some Barnsley voters who supported Reform in May are now considering returning to Labour, influenced by national political shifts and Andy Burnham's leadership.
Richard Riding, a former Labour voter who backed Reform in May, expressed willingness to vote Labour again due to his positive view of Burnham's past performance in Manchester.

Sources

T1
‘Let’s see what he can do’: will Burnham bring Barnsley voters back to Labour?The Guardian

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