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UK primary schools to identify children at risk of future unemployment

Created at 7 Aug · 6:06 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

A government review in England is set to recommend that primary schools be required to identify children at risk of becoming NEET (not in employment, education, or training) from an early age. The proposal aims to intervene before issues escalate, addressing rising youth worklessness.

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Key Numbers

16age children may leave education without a job
24age up to which NEET support is considered
1 millionNEET 16-24 year olds in UK
1 in 8young people affected by NEET status
4 to 5age children not school-ready are more likely to be NEET
3 timeslikelihood of being NEET for children not school-ready
1.3 millionpupils persistently absent in 2024/2025
3.9 timesgreater risk of being NEET for persistently absent young people
6.3 timesgreater risk of sustained unemployment for persistently absent young people

Who's Involved

Alan Milburn
Leader of the review into Britain's youth worklessness crisis
Andy Burnham
Prime Minister focused on youth employment reform
Department for Education
UK government department that may refresh pupil premium guidance

↳ Why This Matters

This initiative aims to proactively address the growing crisis of youth unemployment in the UK by identifying at-risk children early in their education. By intervening in primary school, the government hopes to prevent long-term disengagement from education and employment, thereby reducing future welfare costs and improving economic outcomes for young adults.

Key facts

  • Primary schools in England may be required to identify children at risk of future unemployment.
  • The recommendation comes from a government review led by Alan Milburn into youth worklessness.
  • The review suggests interventions should begin as early as preschool age.
  • Schools would use attendance records and other indicators to flag at-risk pupils.
  • Persistent absenteeism is a key indicator of future risk, with rates having doubled since the pandemic.

Primary schools in England are set to be recommended to identify children at risk of future unemployment, according to a government review. Alan Milburn, leading the review into Britain's youth worklessness crisis, stated that warning signs for young people becoming NEET (not in employment, education, or training) can be observed from a very early age, even preschool.

The proposal, which will be part of Milburn's final report expected this autumn, suggests that schools should flag children at risk from the end of primary school, potentially using attendance records. This initiative aims to intervene and support young people before they reach the age of 16 and potentially enter the benefits system.

Britain is facing a significant rise in youth unemployment, with over a million 16 to 24-year-olds currently NEET, a figure not seen in over a decade. This rate has increased faster than in other countries, coinciding with a rise in mental ill-health and a challenging job market. Milburn highlighted a study showing that children not school-ready by ages 4 to 5 are almost three times as likely to become NEET by 16 to 17, emphasizing the importance of early intervention.

Official figures indicate a substantial increase in school absence rates since the COVID-19 pandemic, with nearly 1.3 million pupils persistently absent in 2024 and 2025. Milburn's interim report noted that persistent absenteeism is associated with a significantly higher risk of a young person becoming NEET. The review also touches upon welfare reform, cautioning that any restrictions on benefits for young people must be accompanied by enhanced education, health, and job support.

Frequently asked questions

NEET stands for 'not in employment, education, or training'.

The review suggests that issues leading to youth unemployment can start very early, and early intervention can help steer children onto a different, more positive path.

Correlated factors include poverty, mental health issues, and being in care. Poor school readiness at a young age is also a significant indicator.

School absence rates have ballooned since the COVID-19 pandemic, with the number of persistently absent pupils almost doubling.

What Happens Next

01Alan Milburn's final report on youth worklessness is expected this autumn.
02The Department for Education may update pupil premium guidance.

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Cadence

How It Developed

A government review in England will recommend primary schools identify children at risk of future unemployment.
The recommendation aims to address Britain's youth worklessness crisis.
Early warning signs for becoming NEET can be identified from preschool age.
Schools would use attendance records and other data to flag at-risk children.
The Department for Education may refresh pupil premium guidance for tutoring and mentoring schemes.
Persistent absenteeism has significantly increased since the COVID-19 pandemic.
Persistent absenteeism is strongly linked to a higher risk of becoming NEET.

Sources

T1
Primary schools to be told to identify children at risk of future unemploymentThe Guardian

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