All NewsEducationTV
Equities & FundsCrypto & Digital AssetsAI & TechnologyBusiness & CorporateUS Politics & PolicyGeopolitics & Global RiskMacro, Rates & FXCommodities & EnergyEuropean Politics & MarketsAsia-PacificReal Estate & Property
Story archiveAll categories
← All Stories

Trump to tout FBI data showing sharp drop in US crime rates

Created at 14 Aug · 10:06 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

U.S. President Donald Trump is set to highlight FBI data expected to show the largest year-to-year decline in violent crime on record, aiming to bolster his law-and-order message ahead of the midterm elections.

✉Newsletter

PiQ Daily

Pick your topics. Get only what matters, on your cadence.

Key Numbers

18.1%estimated decrease in murder and non-negligent manslaughter
18.5%estimated decrease in robberies

Who's Involved

Donald Trump
U.S. President set to showcase falling crime rates
Kash Patel
FBI Director expected to join the president
Todd Blanche
Newly sworn-in Attorney General expected to join the president
Lauren Bis
White House spokeswoman

↳ Why This Matters

The announcement aims to bolster President Trump's 'law and order' platform ahead of the midterm elections, potentially influencing voter sentiment by highlighting a perceived success in public safety amidst economic concerns.

Key facts

  • President Trump will unveil FBI data on Friday showing a record year-to-year decline in violent crime.
  • The FBI report is expected to show an 18.1% decrease in murder and non-negligent manslaughter and an 18.5% fall in robberies.
  • White House officials noted that the crime decline began before Trump's return to office, reaching pre-pandemic lows.
  • Trump has frequently cited a 'crime epidemic' to justify federal intervention and promote his law-and-order agenda.
  • The event is intended to counter economic concerns and highlight public safety ahead of the midterm elections.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump is scheduled to present FBI data on Friday that is expected to reveal the largest year-over-year decrease in violent crime on record. The White House is framing this as evidence of the success of his law-and-order agenda, aiming to draw attention away from economic issues like inflation that have impacted his approval ratings ahead of the November midterm elections.

    The president will visit the Nassau County Police Academy in New York to unveil the 2025 FBI data. According to excerpts shared by the White House, the report indicates an estimated 18.1% decline in murder and non-negligent manslaughter and an 18.5% drop in robberies. While some violent crimes surged during the COVID-19 pandemic, the data suggests the subsequent fall in homicides began in 2023 and 2024, reaching pre-pandemic lows.

    FBI Director Kash Patel and Attorney General Todd Blanche are expected to attend the event. Republicans are looking to leverage public safety as a key issue to resonate with swing voters, contrasting their stance with Democrats. White House spokeswoman Lauren Bis stated, 'President Trump promised to make America safe again and the data proves he has done just that.'

    However, Democrats contend that Republicans are exaggerating the impact of federal policy on the crime decline, noting that the trend began before Trump's return to office. They also argue that progressive police reform movements have largely receded, and some have shifted focus to reforming policing while also criticizing immigration officers for recent killings of U.S. citizens.

    Frequently asked questions

    The FBI data is expected to show an estimated 18.1% decrease in murder and non-negligent manslaughter and an 18.5% fall in robberies.

    White House officials noted that the crime decline predates President Trump's return to office, with homicide rates plummeting in 2023 and 2024 to pre-pandemic lows.

    FBI Director Kash Patel and newly sworn-in Attorney General Todd Blanche are expected to attend the event with the president.

    What Happens Next

    01The FBI is expected to publish its 2025 crime data.
    02President Trump will hold an event at the Nassau County Police Academy on Friday.
    03Midterm elections are scheduled for November.

    Get the newsletter.

    Pick the topics you actually care about. We'll email when there's news worth your time, on the cadence you choose. Cancel any time from your account.

    Cadence

    How It Developed

    President Trump will present FBI data on Friday showing a significant drop in violent crime.
    The FBI report is expected to indicate an 18.1% decrease in murder and non-negligent manslaughter and an 18.5% drop in robberies.
    White House officials state the crime decline predates Trump's return to office, reaching pre-pandemic lows.
    Trump has consistently campaigned on a platform of reducing crime, particularly in Democratic-led cities.
    The announcement aims to shift focus from economic concerns to public safety issues for swing voters.
    Democrats argue that Republicans are overstating the impact of federal policy on the crime decline.

    Sources

    T1
    Trump to tout drop in US crime rates with an eye on midtermsReuters

    Related Stories

    Trump orders US aircraft carriers to revert to steam catapults
    13 Aug · 9:39 PM
    Canada source: US also wants trade deal before Aug 19 deadline
    13 Aug · 5:37 PM
    US judge dismisses Trump administration lawsuit alleging Harvard failed to protect Jewish students
    13 Aug · 3:43 PM
    Los Angeles County to speed up gun licensing to settle US lawsuit
    13 Aug · 9:57 PM
    White House to host crypto, prediction market executives
    13 Aug · 8:11 PM