HomeEverythingEducation
Equities & FundsCrypto & Digital AssetsAI & TechnologyBusiness & CorporateUS Politics & PolicyGeopolitics & Global RiskMacro, Rates & FXCommodities & EnergyEuropean Politics & MarketsAsia-PacificReal Estate & Property
← All Stories

Trump's tax and Medicaid bill passes Congress ahead of 2026 midterms

Created at 6 Jul · 8:51 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Congress has passed President Trump's sweeping tax and Medicaid bill, which includes significant cuts to the healthcare program. Democrats plan to use the legislation, which faces public opposition, as a key message against Republicans in the upcoming 2026 midterm elections.

✉Newsletter

PiQ Daily

Pick your topics. Get only what matters, on your cadence.

Key Numbers

$1 trillionMedicaid cuts in Trump's bill
July 3Date of bill passage
2026Year of upcoming midterm elections
38%Support for the legislation in a Fox News poll
59%Opposition to the legislation in a Fox News poll
11.8 millionAmericans expected to lose insurance over 10 years due to Medicaid cuts
$141Average monthly tax savings for Nebraskans under the bill

Who's Involved

President Trump
Promoting a sweeping tax and Medicaid bill passed by Congress
Hakeem Jeffries
House Minority Leader, calling the bill "cruel" and "dangerous"
Congress
Passed President Trump's tax and spending bill
Suzan DelBene
Chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, predicting GOP House losses
Jamie Raskin
Representative, stating Republicans "have written the script" for 2026
Don Bacon
Representative, vocal opponent of Medicaid cuts, plans to retire
Trump's tax and Medicaid bill passes Congress ahead of 2026 midterms

↳ Why This Matters

The passage of President Trump's tax and Medicaid bill sets the stage for a major political battle in the 2026 midterm elections, with Democrats aiming to capitalize on public opposition to the healthcare cuts and Republicans facing a challenging defense of the legislation.

Key facts

  • Congress passed President Trump's tax and spending bill on July 3.
  • The legislation includes approximately $1 trillion in cuts to Medicaid.
  • Democrats have labeled the bill "cruel" and "dangerous," citing its impact on healthcare.
  • President Trump is promoting the bill as a catalyst for economic growth.
  • Public polling shows more opposition than support for the bill.
  • Republicans acknowledge that the Medicaid cuts could be a political liability in the 2026 midterms.

Congress has passed President Trump's significant tax and spending bill, which includes substantial cuts to Medicaid, ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. The legislation, passed on July 3, aims to extend tax reductions while offsetting costs with nearly $1 trillion in cuts to the healthcare program.

Democrats have strongly opposed the bill, with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries describing it as "cruel" and "dangerous," and the largest cut to healthcare in American history. They plan to leverage these cuts as a central campaign message against Republicans in the upcoming midterms, drawing parallels to the backlash following the 2017 Affordable Care Act repeal attempt.

President Trump, however, is championing the bill as a driver of economic growth, using slogans like "THE ONE BIG BEAUTIFUL DEAL IS ALL ABOUT GROWTH." He held an event in Iowa to promote the legislation and signaled his intent to use it as a campaign issue, expressing disdain for Democrats who did not vote for it.

Public opinion appears to be against the bill, with polls showing more opposition than support. While some specific provisions, such as Medicaid work requirements, garner more public favor, the overall impact of Medicaid cuts is a significant concern. Republicans acknowledge the political challenge, with some members, like Representative Don Bacon, expressing difficulty in defending the bill's provisions, particularly the Medicaid cuts, despite potential tax benefits for constituents.

Frequently asked questions

The bill is described as a massive package of tax reductions and spending cuts, intended to drive economic growth and provide a signature legislative achievement for President Trump's second term.

Democrats criticize the bill for its nearly $1 trillion in cuts to Medicaid, which they argue will leave millions without insurance and increase healthcare costs.

Democrats intend to use the Medicaid cuts and perceived unpopularity of the bill as a central message to attack Republicans and win seats in the 2026 midterm elections.

President Trump is actively promoting the bill, calling it a "phenomenal victory" and a driver of "economic renaissance," and plans to use it as a campaign issue.

What Happens Next

01President Trump will likely continue his campaign to promote the legislation.
02Democrats will use the bill's provisions, particularly Medicaid cuts, as a key campaign message.
03The political impact of the bill will become clearer as the 2026 midterm elections approach.

Get the newsletter.

Pick the topics you actually care about. We'll email when there's news worth your time, on the cadence you choose. Cancel any time from your account.

Cadence

How It Developed

Congress passed President Trump's tax and spending bill on July 3.
The bill includes nearly $1 trillion in cuts to Medicaid.
Democrats, led by House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, have criticized the bill as "cruel" and "dangerous."
President Trump is launching a campaign to promote the legislation, calling it a driver of economic growth.
Polling indicates public opposition to the bill, though some provisions like Medicaid work requirements show more support.
Republicans are concerned about the bill's impact on the 2026 midterm elections, with some acknowledging the difficulty of defending the Medicaid cuts.

Sources

T1
The midterms are months away. The scramble to get on Congress’ tax writing committees has already started.Politico
T2
With time running out, Trump digs in on changing midterm election rules ...washingtonpost.com
T2
Will Trump's megabill help Democrats win the House? : NPRnpr.org
T2
Will Trump's big tax bill come back to bite the GOP in 2026?usatoday.com

Related Stories

Supreme Court ruling may erase Democrats' campaign cash advantage
6 Jul · 10:09 AM
Flavio Bolsonaro lobbies Washington to delay Brazil tariff ahead of election
6 Jul · 10:04 AM
US nonprofits and brands navigate partisan divisions for 250th anniversary
6 Jul · 5:06 AM
Florida Republicans target Jolly's 'nice' campaign strategy
5 Jul · 2:05 PM
Hakeem Jeffries Navigates Ideological Divide Within Democratic Party
6 Jul · 8:51 AM