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States Shift Tax Burden From Wealthy to Consumers

Created at 26 Jul · 9:26 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

States are increasingly lowering taxes on high earners and corporations while raising sales and consumption taxes, shifting the tax burden onto everyday purchases. This trend, driven by competition and revenue stability concerns, disproportionately affects lower-income residents.

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Key Numbers

1990year analysis begins
4.45%Louisiana's previous sales tax rate
5%Louisiana's current sales tax rate
3%Louisiana's current income tax rate

Who's Involved

Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP)
provided analysis on state tax rate changes
Sarah Austin
senior analyst at ITEP, author of the report
Abir Mandal
senior policy analyst at the Tax Foundation
Census Bureau
analyzed state tax revenue shifts
States Shift Tax Burden From Wealthy to Consumers

↳ Why This Matters

This shift in state tax policy means that while wealthy individuals and corporations may pay less, the average consumer faces higher costs for goods and services, potentially exacerbating income inequality and impacting lower-income households the most.

Key facts

  • States have reduced top income tax rates and increased sales/consumption taxes since 1990.
  • This policy shift aims to attract residents and businesses and ensure stable revenue.
  • Sales taxes disproportionately affect lower-income individuals.
  • Louisiana recently raised its sales tax while cutting income tax due to budget shortfalls.
  • Public sentiment increasingly favors taxing the wealthy more, contrary to legislative actions.

Many U.S. states are shifting their tax policies away from taxing high earners and corporations and toward taxing everyday purchases, according to a new analysis from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP). Since 1990, top income tax rates have generally fallen, while sales and consumption taxes have increased, leading to a greater tax burden on consumers.

This trend reflects a broader change in state tax policy, with some states flattening or eliminating income taxes and sales taxes becoming the largest source of state revenue. Analysts attribute this shift partly to competition among states to attract residents and businesses, particularly from high-income tax states like California and New York. The Tea Party movement's influence after the Great Recession also played a role in driving down income tax rates.

Arguments for prioritizing sales taxes include their stability compared to potentially volatile income tax revenues. However, this strategy carries risks, as demonstrated by Louisiana's recent reversal of a sales tax cut and subsequent budget shortfalls linked to lower income and corporate tax collections. The state raised its sales tax to 5% and cut its income tax to a flat 3% in 2025.

Sales taxes are widely considered regressive, meaning they disproportionately impact lower-income individuals. This makes the shift politically challenging at a time when public opinion increasingly favors higher taxes on the wealthy, a sentiment that contrasts with the legislative actions observed over the past decade.

Frequently asked questions

States are lowering income taxes to compete with other states and attract businesses and residents. They also view sales taxes as a more stable source of revenue.

A regressive tax is one that disproportionately affects lower-income individuals, as they spend a larger percentage of their income on essential goods and services subject to sales tax.

Recent public sentiment favors increasing taxes on the wealthy, which contrasts with the legislative trend of lowering income tax rates.

What Happens Next

01Louisiana is contending with budget shortfalls tied to lower income and corporate tax collections.
02Further analysis may reveal more states reversing sales tax cuts or adjusting income tax rates.

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Cadence

How It Developed

States have generally lowered top income tax rates since 1990.
Sales and consumption taxes have increased as a revenue source.
This shift moves tax burdens from high earners to consumers.
States compete to attract residents and businesses by lowering income taxes.
Sales taxes are seen as more stable revenue sources than volatile income taxes.
Louisiana reversed a sales tax cut in 2025, raising it while cutting income tax.
Budget shortfalls are linked to lower income and corporate tax collections.
Sales taxes are considered regressive, impacting low earners more heavily.

Sources

T1
States want to tax the rich less. They're taxing your purchases more.Business Insider

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