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South Carolina Senate race tests Trump's influence

Created at 9 Aug · 3:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Darline Graham, endorsed by Donald Trump, faces a challenging Senate primary in South Carolina. The race mirrors a previous gubernatorial primary where Trump's pick struggled, raising questions about the power of his endorsement alone.

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Who's Involved

Darline Graham
Candidate for South Carolina Senate seat, endorsed by Donald Trump
Donald Trump
President who has endorsed Darline Graham
Lindsey Graham
Late Senator whose death triggered the special election
Russell Fry
GOP Representative and candidate for Senate seat
Ralph Norman
GOP Representative and candidate for Senate seat
Pamela Evette
Lt. Governor who lost a previous Trump-backed primary
Mark Sanford
Former Governor and candidate for Senate seat
Mark Lynch
Businessman and candidate for Senate seat
Tyson Grinstead
RNC committee member and chair of the Richland County GOP

↳ Why This Matters

This election serves as a crucial test of whether Donald Trump's endorsement alone is sufficient to secure victory for a candidate, particularly when facing a divided field and potential runoff scenarios, offering insights into the current dynamics of the Republican Party.

Key facts

  • Darline Graham is running for the South Carolina Senate seat vacated by her late brother, Lindsey Graham.
  • Donald Trump has endorsed Darline Graham.
  • The primary is expected to be competitive, with a runoff election likely.
  • Graham faces challenges consolidating support against other Republican candidates, including Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman.
  • The race is seen as a test of Trump's influence in the Republican Party.

A special election primary for the U.S. Senate in South Carolina is testing Donald Trump's influence within the Republican Party. Darline Graham, the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham, is running with Trump's endorsement but faces a crowded field and the potential for a runoff election.

The race is drawing comparisons to a previous gubernatorial primary where Trump's endorsed candidate ultimately lost. Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, who experienced this scenario, noted the difficulties of relying solely on an endorsement, especially in low-turnout runoff elections.

Graham is campaigning on domestic issues and leveraging her brother's established campaign infrastructure. However, polls suggest a runoff is likely, with GOP Representatives Russell Fry and Ralph Norman seen as her most probable challengers. Fry is considered a rising star, while Norman represents a strong conservative base.

Both Fry and Norman are vying for the second spot in a potential runoff, with their campaigns primarily targeting each other. Attacks have also been directed at Graham and Fry by outside groups and rival campaigns, highlighting the competitive nature of the state's Republican politics.

Frequently asked questions

The special election was triggered by the death of Senator Lindsey Graham.

Darline Graham is the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham and is running for the Senate seat with Donald Trump's endorsement.

Graham faces a crowded field of Republican candidates, making a runoff election likely, and her success may depend on the extent of Donald Trump's direct involvement.

The race is being compared to a previous South Carolina gubernatorial primary where Trump's endorsed candidate lost, suggesting that an endorsement alone may not guarantee victory.

What Happens Next

01A runoff election may occur if no candidate secures a majority in the initial primary.
02The outcome will indicate the strength of Trump's influence in Republican primaries.

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Cadence

How It Developed

A special election Senate primary is set in South Carolina following Sen. Lindsey Graham's death.
Darline Graham, Lindsey Graham's sister, is running with Donald Trump's endorsement.
Graham faces a crowded field including GOP Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, former Gov. Mark Sanford, and businessman Mark Lynch.
The crowded field makes a runoff election likely.
Trump has made limited public efforts to support Graham beyond social media posts and a tele-rally.
Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, who lost a gubernatorial primary despite Trump's backing, noted the challenges of relying solely on an endorsement.
Some Republicans believe Graham has a low ceiling and the race could mirror the governor's primary.
Graham is emphasizing domestic issues, contrasting with her brother's foreign policy focus.

Sources

T1
South Carolina’s Senate race tests Trump — againPolitico

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