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Progressive challengers target Democrats in Florida

Created at 17 Aug · 8:51 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Insurgent progressive candidates are challenging established Democrats in Florida, aiming to energize the base despite the state's increasingly Republican lean. Fundraising and policy stances, particularly on Israel, are key battlegrounds.

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Key Numbers

$3 millionMoskowitz fundraising
$1 millionLarkin fundraising
one-quarter Jewishdistrict demographic
one-quarter Latinodistrict demographic
32,000 votesmargin of DeSantis' 2018 win over Gillum
1.5 millionRepublican voter registration advantage in Florida

Who's Involved

Moskowitz
Congressional candidate in Florida, leading in fundraising
Larkin
Congressional candidate in Florida, supports ending U.S. aid to Israel
Nikki Fried
Florida Democratic Party Chair
Andrew Gillum
Progressive Democrat who narrowly lost Florida gubernatorial race in 2018
DeSantis
Florida Governor
David Jolly
Former GOP member of Congress, Democratic frontrunner for governor
Dotie Joseph
State Rep. challenging Jolly from the left
Byron Donalds
GOP frontrunner for governor, running ads against Jolly
Victoria Doyle
Progressive attorney challenging Rep. Lois Frankel
Lois Frankel
Democratic Representative

↳ Why This Matters

The internal struggles within Florida's Democratic Party highlight a national tension between progressive and moderate wings, with implications for the party's ability to win in increasingly red states. The effectiveness of Republican 'socialist' rhetoric and Democratic counter-strategies will be crucial in upcoming elections.

Key facts

  • Moskowitz has raised $3 million, surpassing Larkin's $1 million in a Florida congressional race.
  • Larkin supports ending U.S. aid to Israel and imposing an arms embargo.
  • Florida Democrats are pushing back against 'socialist' labels and attempting to label Trump as authoritarian.
  • Republicans are warning about far-left policies and labeling Democratic candidates as socialists.
  • Andrew Gillum, a progressive, narrowly lost the 2018 gubernatorial race to DeSantis.
  • Victoria Doyle is running a progressive campaign against Rep. Lois Frankel, focusing on campaign finance reform.

Progressive candidates are challenging established Democrats in Florida, seeking to energize the party base despite the state's increasing Republican lean. In a congressional race, Moskowitz has surpassed Larkin's fundraising, with policy differences on Israel emerging as a key point of contention. Larkin supports ending U.S. aid to Israel and imposing an arms embargo, while Moskowitz has not engaged in debates due to these positions. The district is diverse, with significant Jewish and Latino populations and a near-even split among party affiliations.

Florida Democratic Party Chair Nikki Fried expressed skepticism about national insurgent trends, emphasizing Florida's unique political landscape shaped by those fleeing authoritarian regimes. Democrats are increasingly pushing back against 'socialist' labels, attempting instead to label President Trump as an authoritarian. However, Florida Republicans are preparing to use similar rhetoric, with speakers at a recent gathering warning about far-left policies. Larkin, however, welcomed the 'socialist' label, suggesting Republicans would apply it broadly and pointing to the Trump administration's own interventions in key economic sectors as evidence of hypocrisy.

Despite Florida's redward shift, progressives see potential to energize the electorate, recalling Andrew Gillum's close 2018 gubernatorial race against DeSantis. That same year, Fried was the last Democrat elected statewide. Republicans now hold a 1.5 million voter registration advantage. Evan Power, chair of the Republican Party of Florida, believes there are no moderate Democrats. David Jolly, a former Republican, faces a challenge from the left by State Rep. Dotie Joseph. Republicans, including Rep. Byron Donalds, are running ads to portray Jolly as far-left.

In the district encompassing Mar-a-Lago, attorney Victoria Doyle is campaigning as a progressive, refusing corporate PAC donations and focusing on reversing the Supreme Court's Citizens United decision. She also criticized Congress for its inaction.

Frequently asked questions

Larkin supports ending U.S. aid to Israel and imposing an arms embargo on the country, positions that Moskowitz has not engaged with in forums or debates.

The district is one-quarter Jewish, one-quarter Latino, and split about evenly between Republicans, Democrats, and no-party affiliated voters.

Florida has become increasingly Republican, with Republicans outregistering Democrats by 1.5 million people since 2018.

Republicans are warning about the dangers of far-left policies and are gearing up to label Democratic candidates as 'socialists' or 'radical leftists'.

What Happens Next

01Voters will decide between established Democrats and progressive challengers in upcoming primaries.
02The effectiveness of Republican 'socialist' rhetoric against Democratic candidates will be tested.
03The ability of Democratic candidates to energize the base in a Republican-leaning state will be closely watched.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Moskowitz has surpassed Larkin's fundraising in a Florida congressional race.
Larkin supports ending U.S. aid to Israel and imposing an arms embargo.
Florida Democratic Party Chair Nikki Fried downplayed insurgent trends, citing Florida's unique electorate.
Democrats are pushing back against 'socialist' labels and attempting to label Trump as authoritarian.
Florida Republicans are warning about the dangers of far-left policies.
Larkin stated Republicans would call Moskowitz a socialist, citing Trump administration's stakes in key sectors.
Andrew Gillum, an unapologetic progressive, narrowly lost the 2018 gubernatorial race to DeSantis.
Nikki Fried was the last Democrat elected statewide in 2018.

Sources

T1
The insurgent left faces DeSantis’ FloridaPolitico

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