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Poll: Independent voters back some progressive ideas, but not democratic socialists

Created at 7 Aug · 10:12 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that a majority of independent voters support key progressive proposals like increasing taxes on corporations and billionaires, and government-provided healthcare. However, these same voters expressed skepticism towards candidates identifying as democratic socialists.

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Key Numbers

64%independent voters support increasing taxes on corporations and billionaires
15%independent voters oppose increasing taxes on corporations and billionaires
60%independent voters support government-provided healthcare
43%independent voters less likely to vote for a democratic socialist candidate
22%independent voters more likely to vote for a democratic socialist candidate
44%independent voters favor free college tuition
31%independent voters oppose free college tuition
40%independent voters want fewer immigrants
30%independent voters oppose reducing immigration
40%independent voters back reducing government regulations on business
26%independent voters oppose reducing government regulations on business
47%independent voters for cutting foreign aid
23%independent voters against cutting foreign aid
4,505total U.S. adults polled
1,097independent registered voters polled
3 percentage pointsmargin of error for independent voters

Who's Involved

Abdul El-Sayed
Progressive Democratic candidate for Michigan U.S. Senate
Donald Trump
President of the United States
Mike Rogers
Republican opponent of Abdul El-Sayed
Megan Romer
National co-chair of Democratic Socialists of America
Zohran Mamdani
New York City Mayor and supporter of progressive policies
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
U.S. Representative and supporter of progressive policies
Bernie Sanders
U.S. Senator and proponent of progressive policies
John Feehery
Republican strategist
Rob Godfrey
Republican strategist
Adam Frisch
Director of electoral programs for Welcome PAC
Reuters/Ipsos
Pollster conducting the survey
Poll: Independent voters back some progressive ideas, but not democratic socialists

↳ Why This Matters

The poll's findings are significant as they highlight a potential disconnect between specific progressive policy ideas and the broader label of 'democratic socialist,' which could influence voter behavior in upcoming elections. Independent voters, often a crucial swing demographic, show support for certain progressive economic and healthcare policies but skepticism towards candidates who identify

Key facts

  • A Reuters/Ipsos poll indicates that 64% of independent voters support higher taxes on corporations and billionaires.
  • Sixty percent of independent voters favor government-provided healthcare, a key progressive proposal.
  • A majority of independents view democratic socialists negatively, with 43% less likely to vote for such candidates.
  • Independent voters also expressed support for reducing immigration and government regulations on business.
  • The poll was conducted online from July 29 to August 3, 2023.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll indicates that some progressive Democratic proposals, such as increasing taxes on billionaires and corporations and implementing government-provided healthcare, are gaining traction among independent voters. These findings suggest a potential pathway for progressive candidates in upcoming elections, despite efforts by Republicans to label Democrats as extremists.

The poll found that 64% of independent registered voters support higher taxes on corporations and billionaires, while 60% favor government-provided healthcare. These issues have been central to the campaigns of insurgent candidates like Abdul El-Sayed, who is running for the U.S. Senate in Michigan.

However, the poll also revealed that independent voters have a negative view of democratic socialists, with 43% stating they would be less likely to vote for a candidate identifying with the label. This presents a challenge for candidates like El-Sayed, who is endorsed by prominent progressive figures such as Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

Republicans, including President Donald Trump, have sought to capitalize on the rise of democratic socialism by portraying the Democratic Party as extreme. Strategists are divided on the effectiveness of these attacks, with some believing voter dissatisfaction with the cost of living may outweigh partisan labels.

Independents also expressed support for reducing immigration and government regulations on business, aligning with some conservative viewpoints. The poll surveyed 4,505 U.S. adults, including 1,097 independent registered voters, between July 29 and August 3, with a margin of error of 3 percentage points for independent voters.

Frequently asked questions

Sixty-four percent of independent registered voters support increasing taxes on corporations and billionaires, according to the Reuters/Ipsos poll.

Sixty percent of independent voters said they support government-provided healthcare coverage for all Americans, often referred to as 'Medicare for all'.

Forty-three percent of independent voters said they would be less likely to vote for a candidate who identifies as a democratic socialist, while 22% said they were more likely.

Independent voters showed support for reducing immigration and reducing government regulations on business. They were split on making college tuition free.

What Happens Next

01Analysis of how these independent voter sentiments will translate into actual voting patterns in the November midterm elections.
02Monitoring of campaign strategies by both Democratic and Republican parties in response to these poll findings.

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Cadence

How It Developed

A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that 64% of independent registered voters support increasing taxes on corporations and billionaires.
Sixty percent of independent voters support government-provided healthcare coverage for all Americans.
Forty-three percent of independent voters said they would be less likely to vote for a candidate who identifies as a democratic socialist.
Independents showed mixed support for free college tuition, with 44% in favor and 31% opposed.
Independent voters showed a preference for reducing immigration, with 40% supporting fewer immigrants.
Forty percent of independent voters favor reducing government regulations on business.
Forty-seven percent of independent voters support cutting foreign aid.
The poll surveyed 4,505 U.S. adults, including 1,097 independent registered voters, with a margin of error of 3 percentage points for independent voters.

Sources

T1
Some US progressive goals win support of independent voters, Reuters/Ipsos poll findsReuters

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