Key facts
- Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a simulated second-round runoff with 44% to 39%.
- In a first-round scenario, Lula leads with 39% of the votes, and Bolsonaro has 30%.
- A previous poll showed Lula leading Bolsonaro 45% to 37% in a second-round scenario.
- The Quaest poll surveyed 2,004 people between July 31 and August 3.
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva continues to lead Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, although the right-wing challenger has narrowed the gap with the leftist incumbent ahead of October's election, a Quaest poll commissioned by brokerage Genial showed. In a simulated second-round runoff, Lula would receive 44% support compared with 39% for Bolsonaro. A July 15 Quaest poll had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 45% to 37%. In a first-round scenario, Lula would lead with 39% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro (30%), Renan Santos (4%), Ronaldo Caiado (4%), and Romeu Zema (2%). Senator Bolsonaro is the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro. The previous poll showed Lula at 40% and Bolsonaro at 28% in the first round. If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff. Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between July 31 and August 3, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points.