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Hochul leads Blakeman by 10 points in first poll of likely voters

Created at 12 Aug · 9:46 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Governor Kathy Hochul holds a 10-point lead over Republican challenger Mike Blakeman in the first poll of likely voters conducted by Siena College. Hochul leads 49% to 39%, a narrower margin than in previous polls.

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Key Numbers

10-pointHochul's lead over Blakeman
49-39Hochul vs. Blakeman head-to-head
33 percentBlakeman favorable rating
26 percentBlakeman unfavorable rating
64-19Hochul lead in New York City
49-41Blakeman lead in suburbs
46-45Upstate tie
54-36James vs. Komatireddy margin
55-32DiNapoli vs. Hernandez margin

Who's Involved

Kathy Hochul
Governor leading Blakeman by 10 points
Mike Blakeman
Republican challenger trailing Hochul by 10 points
Siena College
Conducted the poll of likely voters
Steve Greenberg
Siena spokesperson
Letitia James
Democratic Attorney General leading challenger
Saritha Komatireddy
Republican challenger to Attorney General
Tom DiNapoli
Democratic Comptroller leading challenger
Joseph Hernandez
Republican challenger to Comptroller

↳ Why This Matters

The poll indicates a tightening race for New York's gubernatorial election, with Hochul's lead diminishing and Blakeman showing strength in key regions, suggesting a potentially competitive contest.

Key facts

  • Governor Kathy Hochul has a 10-point lead over Republican challenger Mike Blakeman in the first Siena College poll of likely voters.
  • Hochul leads 49% to 39% in the head-to-head matchup.
  • Blakeman is viewed favorably by 33% of likely voters, while 26% view him unfavorably.
  • Hochul leads 64-19 in New York City, while Blakeman leads 49-41 in the suburbs.
  • Upstate, the candidates are tied with Blakeman at 46% and Hochul at 45%.
  • Democratic Attorney General Letitia James leads Republican challenger Saritha Komatireddy by 54-36.
  • Democratic Comptroller Tom DiNapoli has a 55-32 advantage over Republican Joseph Hernandez.

Governor Kathy Hochul holds a 10-point lead over Republican challenger Mike Blakeman in the first Siena College poll of likely voters, with 49% supporting Hochul and 39% backing Blakeman. This represents a narrowing of Hochul's advantage compared to a previous poll of registered voters.

Hochul demonstrates strong support in New York City, leading 64% to 19%, while Blakeman holds a lead in the suburbs, 49% to 41%. Upstate, the race is virtually tied, with Blakeman at 46% and Hochul at 45%.

Both candidates are consolidating their party bases, with Hochul leading Democrats 80-8 and Blakeman leading Republicans 84-9. Independent voters slightly favor Blakeman, 45% to 40%.

In other statewide races, Democratic Attorney General Letitia James leads Republican challenger Saritha Komatireddy by 54% to 36%. Democratic Comptroller Tom DiNapoli has a 55% to 32% advantage over Republican Joseph Hernandez. Both James and DiNapoli achieved their highest favorability ratings in a Siena poll.

Frequently asked questions

Kathy Hochul leads Mike Blakeman by 10 points, 49% to 39%, in the first Siena College poll of likely voters.

Hochul leads significantly in New York City (64-19), Blakeman leads in the suburbs (49-41), and the race is tied upstate (46-45).

Blakeman is viewed favorably by 33% of likely voters and unfavorably by 26%.

Letitia James leads Saritha Komatireddy 54-36, and Tom DiNapoli leads Joseph Hernandez 55-32.

What Happens Next

01Further polling will indicate if Hochul's lead continues to narrow or if she can re-establish a wider margin.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Kathy Hochul leads Mike Blakeman by 49% to 39% in a Siena College poll of likely voters.
Hochul's lead is narrower than her previous advantage in a poll of registered voters.
Hochul leads significantly in New York City, while Blakeman leads in the suburbs.
The candidates are tied upstate, with independent voters favoring Blakeman.
Letitia James leads Saritha Komatireddy by 54-36, and Tom DiNapoli leads Joseph Hernandez by 55-32.

Sources

T1
Siena: Hochul has 10-point lead over Blakeman in first poll of likely votersPolitico

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