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Ex-Republican Jolly Seeks to Revive Florida Democrats' Fortunes

Created at 13 Aug · 9:12 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

David Jolly, a former Republican running as a Democrat for Florida governor, is attempting to prove the state can still be a battleground. He faces challenges from both Republican opponent Byron Donalds and lingering doubts from within the Democratic party about his electability.

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Key Numbers

71age of voter Cyn Doyle
19-percentage pointmargin of Ron DeSantis's 2022 win
100 milliondollars raised by Byron Donalds' campaign
10 milliondollars raised by David Jolly's campaign
20 yearstime since Hillsborough County backed a Republican presidential candidate

Who's Involved

David Jolly
Republican-turned-independent running for Florida governor as a Democrat
Cyn Doyle
71-year-old voter with doubts about Jolly's political journey
John Fetterman
Pennsylvania Democratic senator mentioned by a voter
Donald Trump
President who has seen expanding margins of victory in Florida
Ron DeSantis
Republican Governor who cemented a GOP supermajority in Florida
Byron Donalds
Trump-backed Republican candidate for Florida governor
Karen Kuhn
72-year-old resident of The Villages expressing despair over culture wars
Carlos Curbelo
Former GOP Rep. who sees a scenario for a closer race in Florida
JB Pritzker
Governor of Illinois
Gavin Newsom
Governor of California
Andy Beshear
Governor of Kentucky and chair of the Democratic Governors Association
Pete Buttigieg
Former Transportation Secretary
Emily Gregory
Florida State Representative who flipped a district near Mar-a-Lago
Nikki Fried
Florida Democratic Party chair
Gates McGavick
Communications director for Donalds' campaign

↳ Why This Matters

David Jolly's campaign for Florida governor as a Democrat represents a high-stakes effort to reverse the state's recent Republican leanings. A successful bid could significantly alter the national political landscape for Democrats, potentially reshaping presidential election dynamics and congressional representation.

Key facts

  • David Jolly, a former Republican, is running for Florida governor as a Democrat.
  • Jolly is attempting to demonstrate that Florida can still be a competitive political battleground.
  • He faces a significant fundraising disadvantage against his likely Republican opponent, Byron Donalds.
  • Jolly's campaign focuses on economic issues, while Donalds' campaign highlights social and cultural differences.
  • Democrats have seen some success in recent special elections in Florida.
  • Jolly believes a win in Florida could significantly impact national Democratic prospects.

David Jolly, a former Republican now running as a Democrat for Florida governor, is campaigning to prove that the state can still be a political battleground. He faces skepticism from voters, including one who questioned if he would "become another John Fetterman," and a significant fundraising gap against his likely Republican opponent, Rep. Byron Donalds.

Jolly, who once critiqued politicians as an MSNBC pundit, is attempting to bridge ideological divides by emphasizing core values such as an economy that works for everyone, government's role in improving lives, and the right to protection. He acknowledges the political challenges, particularly on social issues like transgender participation in sports, stating that while he doesn't believe in biologically born men playing in competitive women's sports, he also doesn't think governors should intervene in local youth leagues.

Despite the headwinds, Jolly's campaign is trying to capitalize on potential Republican fatigue with culture war issues, citing examples like the feud with Disney and debates over gender and sexual orientation. Democrats point to recent special election victories and potential shifts in Latino voter sentiment as signs of opportunity. Former GOP Rep. Carlos Curbelo suggested a scenario where the race could be competitive.

Jolly argues that a Democratic victory in Florida would have national implications, potentially reshaping the road to the White House and the composition of the House of Representatives. State Rep. Emily Gregory echoed this sentiment, calling it "deeply, deeply unwise" to abandon Florida and expressing confidence in a competitive November election. Florida Democratic Party chair Nikki Fried acknowledged the party's past struggles but is focused on rebuilding operations.

While Democratic Governors Association chair Andy Beshear is watching Jolly's campaign closely and calls him a "good candidate," he has not yet made a financial commitment. Donalds' campaign, meanwhile, remains confident, with communications director Gates McGavick stating that Florida voters will reject Jolly's "radical liberal" platform.

Frequently asked questions

David Jolly is a former Republican who is now running for Florida governor as a Democrat. He previously served as a Republican congressman and has worked as an MSNBC pundit.

Jolly faces skepticism from voters, a significant fundraising disadvantage against his likely Republican opponent Byron Donalds, and internal doubts within the Democratic party about his electability in a heavily Republican state.

Jolly is focusing on economic issues and core values, arguing that the economy should work for everyone and government can improve lives. He is also trying to appeal to voters fatigued by culture war issues.

Jolly believes a victory in Florida could significantly impact national Democratic prospects, potentially reshaping the path to the White House and influencing the composition of the House of Representatives.

What Happens Next

01Jolly will continue campaigning across Florida.
02The Republican primary will determine Jolly's opponent.
03The general election will take place in November.

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Cadence

How It Developed

David Jolly, a former Republican now running for Florida governor as a Democrat, is campaigning across the state.
Jolly faces skepticism from voters and within the Democratic party regarding his ability to win in Florida.
Florida has seen a significant Republican shift in recent elections, with Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis winning by wide margins.
Jolly's campaign is contrasted with that of his likely Republican opponent, Byron Donalds, who has raised significantly more funds.
Donalds' campaign has attacked Jolly on social issues, while Jolly emphasizes economic concerns.
Some Republicans express exhaustion with culture war issues, while Democrats see potential in special election wins and shifting Latino voter sentiment.
Jolly argues that winning Florida could reshape the national political landscape for Democrats.
Florida Democratic Party chair Nikki Fried acknowledges the party's past struggles but is working to rebuild operations.

Sources

T1
Mission Improbable: A onetime Republican is trying to prove Democrats can win in FloridaAP News

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